Value bet: Tver to win @ 2.66 – our chance 43% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultTver to win ✓43% · @2.66
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.34
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.40
Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Tver: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Zvezda St. Petersburg welcome Tver to Nova Arena for a Second League Group 2 fixture on Friday 2 October (12:00 WAT). In the table, Zvezda St. Petersburg are 10th, lower half, on 24 points after 20 matches; Tver are 8th (upper half) with 24. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Zvezda St. Petersburg, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Iskra Smolensk, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 5. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Tver, last 5: WWDDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Torpedo Vladimir, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Tver, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.2 for Zvezda St. Petersburg.
Head to head
When they last met (14 Jun 2026) it ended Tver 1–2 Zvezda St. Petersburg.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Zvezda St. Petersburg 1.3 xG, Tver 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Zvezda St. Petersburg 36%, draw 21%, Tver 43%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Tver to win @2.66 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zvezda St. Petersburg 1–1 Tver. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Zvezda St. Petersburg36%fair 2.81 · @2.52
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.56
Tver43%fair 2.33 · @2.66
2.76Expected goals
1.30Zvezda St. Petersburg xG
1.46Tver xG
60%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Zvezda St. Petersburg 1.3 – 1.5 Tver expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Tver?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Tver?
On our numbers Zvezda St. Petersburg have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tver 43%.
How many goals will there be in Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Tver?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Tver?
Our predicted score is Zvezda St. Petersburg 1–1 Tver, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Tver?
Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Tver (Second League Group 2) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Nova Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
