Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.99 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMurom to win ✓69% · @1.32
Double chanceMurom or draw ✓85% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.36
Iskra Smolensk vs Murom: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 10 October the Second League Group 2 brings Iskra Smolensk against Murom. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT. In the table, Iskra Smolensk are 14th, in the drop zone, on 15 points after 21 matches; Murom are 1st (leading the league) with 44. There are 29 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Iskra Smolensk, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Luki-Energiya, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Murom, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Luki-Energiya, at home. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Murom, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.7 for Iskra Smolensk.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Jun 2026) it ended Murom 6–0 Iskra Smolensk.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Iskra Smolensk 0.8 xG, Murom 2.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Iskra Smolensk 15%, draw 16%, Murom 69%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.99.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.99 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Iskra Smolensk 0–2 Murom. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Iskra Smolensk15%fair 6.51 · @5.81
Draw16%fair 6.25 · @6.20
Murom69%fair 1.46 · @1.32
2.80Expected goals
0.77Iskra Smolensk xG
2.02Murom xG
54%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–212%
0–112%
1–210%
1–110%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Iskra Smolensk 0.8 – 2.0 Murom expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Iskra Smolensk vs Murom?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Iskra Smolensk vs Murom?
On our numbers Iskra Smolensk have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Murom 69%.
How many goals will there be in Iskra Smolensk vs Murom?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Iskra Smolensk vs Murom?
Our predicted score is Iskra Smolensk 0–2 Murom, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Iskra Smolensk vs Murom?
Iskra Smolensk vs Murom (Second League Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
