Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.24 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.24Odds
1
Value bet: Spartak Moscow 2 to win @ 1.87 – our chance 63% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSpartak Moscow 2 to win ✗63% · @1.87
Double chanceSpartak Moscow 2 or draw ✗83% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.23
Spartak Moscow 2 vs Zvezda St. Petersburg: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Spartak Moscow 2 welcome Zvezda St. Petersburg for a Second League Group 2 fixture on Sunday 11 October (14:00 WAT). In the table, Spartak Moscow 2 are 12th, lower half, on 23 points after 21 matches; Zvezda St. Petersburg are 10th (lower half) with 24. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Spartak Moscow 2, last 5: DLWDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Dinamo Vologda, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Zvezda St. Petersburg, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–8 defeat to Tver, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Spartak Moscow 2, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.2 for Zvezda St. Petersburg.
Head to head
When they last met (23 Jun 2026) it ended Zvezda St. Petersburg 2–3 Spartak Moscow 2.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Spartak Moscow 2 1.9 xG, Zvezda St. Petersburg 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Spartak Moscow 2 63%, draw 20%, Zvezda St. Petersburg 17%.
Lower-risk option: Spartak Moscow 2 or draw (83%) at 1.24.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Spartak Moscow 2 to win @1.87 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Spartak Moscow 2 or draw (83%, odds 1.24 – longer than our fair 1.20, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spartak Moscow 2 1–0 Zvezda St. Petersburg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Spartak Moscow 263%fair 1.58 · @1.87
Draw20%fair 5.06 · @3.60
Zvezda St. Petersburg17%fair 5.93 · @3.64
2.73Expected goals
1.90Spartak Moscow 2 xG
0.83Zvezda St. Petersburg xG
56%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Spartak Moscow 2 1.9 – 0.8 Zvezda St. Petersburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Spartak Moscow 2 vs Zvezda St. Petersburg?
Our pick is Spartak Moscow 2 or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Spartak Moscow 2 vs Zvezda St. Petersburg?
On our numbers Spartak Moscow 2 have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Zvezda St. Petersburg 17%.
How many goals will there be in Spartak Moscow 2 vs Zvezda St. Petersburg?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spartak Moscow 2 vs Zvezda St. Petersburg?
Our predicted score is Spartak Moscow 2 1–0 Zvezda St. Petersburg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Spartak Moscow 2 vs Zvezda St. Petersburg?
Spartak Moscow 2 vs Zvezda St. Petersburg (Second League Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
