Value bet: Cherepovets to win @ 2.95 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultZvezda St. Petersburg to win ✓39% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.34
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.69
Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Cherepovets: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 16 October the Second League Group 2 brings Zvezda St. Petersburg against Cherepovets at Stadion Nova Arena. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT. In the table, Zvezda St. Petersburg are 10th, lower half, on 24 points after 20 matches; Cherepovets are 9th (lower half) with 24. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Zvezda St. Petersburg, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Spartak Moscow 2, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 3.3 conceded per game.
Cherepovets, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Torpedo Vladimir, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Cherepovets, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Zvezda St. Petersburg.
Head to head
When they last met (28 Jun 2026) it ended Cherepovets 0–2 Zvezda St. Petersburg.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Zvezda St. Petersburg 1.5 xG, Cherepovets 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Zvezda St. Petersburg 39%, draw 24%, Cherepovets 37%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Cherepovets to win @2.95 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.23). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zvezda St. Petersburg 1–1 Cherepovets. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Zvezda St. Petersburg39%fair 2.54 · @2.38
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.00
Cherepovets37%fair 2.74 · @2.95
2.86Expected goals
1.46Zvezda St. Petersburg xG
1.40Cherepovets xG
62%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Zvezda St. Petersburg 1.5 – 1.4 Cherepovets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zvezda St. Petersburg to win✓
39%
2.54
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.34
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.62
Draw no bet
Zvezda St. Petersburg (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Cherepovets +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
1.23
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.12
First team to score
Zvezda St. Petersburg to score first✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zvezda St. Petersburg / FT Zvezda St. Petersburg✓
What is the prediction for Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Cherepovets?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Cherepovets?
On our numbers Zvezda St. Petersburg have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Cherepovets 37%.
How many goals will there be in Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Cherepovets?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Cherepovets?
Our predicted score is Zvezda St. Petersburg 1–1 Cherepovets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Cherepovets?
Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Cherepovets (Second League Group 2) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Nova Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
