Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Chertanovo Moscow to win @ 1.75 – our chance 62% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultChertanovo Moscow to win ✓62% · @1.75
Double chanceChertanovo Moscow or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.81
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.33
Dinamo Vologda vs Chertanovo Moscow: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 18 October the Second League Group 2 brings Dinamo Vologda against Chertanovo Moscow at Dinamo. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Dinamo Vologda are 11th, lower half, on 23 points after 20 matches; Chertanovo Moscow are 5th (upper half) with 39. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Dinamo Vologda, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Kosmos Dolgoprudny, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Chertanovo Moscow, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Tekstilshchik, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Chertanovo Moscow, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for Dinamo Vologda.
Head to head
When they last met (28 Jun 2026) it ended Chertanovo Moscow 1–1 Dinamo Vologda.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dinamo Vologda 0.8 xG, Chertanovo Moscow 1.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dinamo Vologda 14%, draw 24%, Chertanovo Moscow 62%.
Lower-risk option: Chertanovo Moscow or draw (86%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.81.
Price worth noting: Chertanovo Moscow to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Chertanovo Moscow or draw (86%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.16, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dinamo Vologda 0–1 Chertanovo Moscow. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dinamo Vologda14%fair 7.10 · @4.04
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.70
Chertanovo Moscow62%fair 1.62 · @1.75
2.67Expected goals
0.80Dinamo Vologda xG
1.87Chertanovo Moscow xG
50%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Dinamo Vologda 0.8 – 1.9 Chertanovo Moscow expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Dinamo Vologda vs Chertanovo Moscow?
Our pick is Chertanovo Moscow or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Dinamo Vologda vs Chertanovo Moscow?
On our numbers Dinamo Vologda have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Chertanovo Moscow 62%.
How many goals will there be in Dinamo Vologda vs Chertanovo Moscow?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dinamo Vologda vs Chertanovo Moscow?
Our predicted score is Dinamo Vologda 0–1 Chertanovo Moscow, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Dinamo Vologda vs Chertanovo Moscow?
Dinamo Vologda vs Chertanovo Moscow (Second League Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Dinamo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
