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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Murom v Cherepovets: numbers & prediction

Second League Group 2 · Russia · Viktor Losev Stadion

Murom

WDDWW
2–2
FT
Murom 68%Draw 15%Cherepovets 17% Expected goals 1.98 – 0.79
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.21 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.21Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.24 – our chance 51% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultMurom to win ✗68% · @1.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗85% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.24
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.30

Murom vs Cherepovets: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Cherepovets travel to face Murom on Sunday 1 November in the Second League Group 2, with Viktor Losev Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Murom are 1st, leading the league, on 44 points after 21 matches; Cherepovets are 9th (lower half) with 24. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Murom, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Spartak Moscow 2, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Cherepovets, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Luki-Energiya, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Murom, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.5 for Cherepovets.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Mar 2026) it ended Cherepovets 0–2 Murom.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Murom 2.0 xG, Cherepovets 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Murom 68%, draw 15%, Cherepovets 17%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.24.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.24 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.21). Most likely score in line with that pick: Murom 2–0 Cherepovets. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Murom68%fair 1.47 · @1.25
Draw15%fair 6.71 · @6.20
Cherepovets17%fair 5.92 · @7.70
2.78Expected goals
1.98Murom xG
0.79Cherepovets xG
51%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%

From our goals model: Murom 2.0 – 0.8 Cherepovets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMurom to win ✗68%1.471.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗85%1.181.09
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.972.24 ▲
Draw no betMurom (draw no bet)80%1.25–
Asian handicapMurom -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.311.21
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.851.64
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗67%1.491.40
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.211.15
First team to scoreMurom to score first67%1.49–
Half-time resultMurom ahead at half-time ✓47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT Murom / FT Murom ✗42%2.38–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.30–

Recent results

Murom – last 6

WDDWWW
25 Octvs Spartak Moscow 23–1W
18 Octvs Tver0–0D
14 Oct@ Volga Ulyanovsk0–0D
10 Oct@ Iskra Smolensk4–1W
27 Sepvs Luki-Energiya2–0W
18 Sep@ Zvezda St. Petersburg3–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Cherepovets – last 6

WLLLWW
25 Octvs Luki-Energiya1–0W
16 Oct@ Zvezda St. Petersburg0–2L
11 Octvs Torpedo Vladimir0–1L
27 Sepvs Dinamo Vologda1–2L
20 Sep@ Baltika II4–1W
13 Sepvs Yenisey II3–2W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Mar 2026Cherepovets v Murom0–2
Murom vs Cherepovets head-to-head page →

Second League Group 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Murom211425+1844
2Dinamo St. Petersburg201262+2242
3Luki-Energiya211263+1842
4Baltika II211245+1940
5Chertanovo Moscow211164+2139
6Torpedo Vladimir20956+532
7Kosmos Dolgoprudny21849-628
8Tver217311-624
9Cherepovets207310-1124
10Zvezda St. Petersburg20596024
11Dinamo Vologda20659+323
12Spartak Moscow 2216510-623
13Yenisey II215412-1719
14Iskra Smolensk213612-2515
15Irkutsk213216-3511

More Second League Group 2 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Murom vs Cherepovets?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.

Who will win Murom vs Cherepovets?

On our numbers Murom have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Cherepovets 17%.

How many goals will there be in Murom vs Cherepovets?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Murom vs Cherepovets?

Our predicted score is Murom 2–0 Cherepovets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Murom vs Cherepovets?

Murom vs Cherepovets (Second League Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Viktor Losev Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.