Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultFK Spartak Tambov to win ✓40% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.21
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.36
Metallurg Lipetsk vs FK Spartak Tambov: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 8 May the Second League Group 3 brings Metallurg Lipetsk against FK Spartak Tambov at Stadion Metallurg. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Metallurg Lipetsk are 7th, upper half, on 38 points after 22 matches; FK Spartak Tambov are 2nd (among the top four) with 53. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
FK Spartak Tambov, last 4: DWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Arsenal Tula II, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Metallurg Lipetsk 1.0 xG, FK Spartak Tambov 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Metallurg Lipetsk 33%, draw 27%, FK Spartak Tambov 40%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.81.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Metallurg Lipetsk 1–1 FK Spartak Tambov. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Metallurg Lipetsk33%fair 3.02 · @2.44
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @3.54
FK Spartak Tambov40%fair 2.48 · @2.38
2.25Expected goals
1.03Metallurg Lipetsk xG
1.22FK Spartak Tambov xG
52%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–011%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Metallurg Lipetsk 1.0 – 1.2 FK Spartak Tambov expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FK Spartak Tambov to win✓
40%
2.48
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.36
1.21
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
1.81
Draw no bet
FK Spartak Tambov (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
Metallurg Lipetsk +1 (Asian handicap)
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.48
1.31
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.69
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
FK Spartak Tambov to score first✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FK Spartak Tambov / FT FK Spartak Tambov✗
23%
4.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.36
–
Recent results
Metallurg Lipetsk – last 1
W
5 Apr
vs Kvant
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
FK Spartak Tambov – last 4
DWWW
26 Apr
@ Arsenal Tula II
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Strogino
4–0
W
11 Apr
@ SKA Khabarovsk II
2–0
W
28 Mar
vs Saturn Ramenskoye
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Metallurg Lipetsk and FK Spartak Tambov.
What is the prediction for Metallurg Lipetsk vs FK Spartak Tambov?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Metallurg Lipetsk vs FK Spartak Tambov?
On our numbers Metallurg Lipetsk have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 27% and FK Spartak Tambov 40%.
How many goals will there be in Metallurg Lipetsk vs FK Spartak Tambov?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Metallurg Lipetsk vs FK Spartak Tambov?
Our predicted score is Metallurg Lipetsk 1–1 FK Spartak Tambov, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Metallurg Lipetsk vs FK Spartak Tambov?
Metallurg Lipetsk vs FK Spartak Tambov (Second League Group 3) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Metallurg.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
