Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.39 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.39Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.86 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMetallurg Lipetsk to win ✗61% · @1.39
Double chanceMetallurg Lipetsk or draw ✓84% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.86
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Strogino vs Metallurg Lipetsk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Strogino welcome Metallurg Lipetsk for a Second League Group 3 fixture on Saturday 30 May (11:00 WAT). In the table, Strogino are 10th, lower half, on 25 points after 22 matches; Metallurg Lipetsk are 7th (upper half) with 38. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Strogino, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Zenit Penza, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Metallurg Lipetsk, last 4: WDLW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over SKA Khabarovsk II, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Metallurg Lipetsk, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.3 for Strogino.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Strogino 1.0 xG, Metallurg Lipetsk 1.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Strogino 16%, draw 23%, Metallurg Lipetsk 61%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.86.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.86 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (66%, odds 1.39). Most likely score in line with that pick: Strogino 0–1 Metallurg Lipetsk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Strogino16%fair 6.40 · @7.90
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.75
Metallurg Lipetsk61%fair 1.63 · @1.39
2.89Expected goals
0.99Strogino xG
1.90Metallurg Lipetsk xG
58%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–111%
1–110%
0–210%
1–210%
0–36%
1–36%
From our goals model: Strogino 1.0 – 1.9 Metallurg Lipetsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Metallurg Lipetsk to win✗
61%
1.63
1.39
Double chance
Metallurg Lipetsk or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.86 ▲
Draw no bet
Metallurg Lipetsk (draw no bet)
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Strogino +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.69
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.39
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.10
First team to score
Metallurg Lipetsk to score first✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Metallurg Lipetsk ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Metallurg Lipetsk / FT Metallurg Lipetsk✗
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.07
–
Recent results
Strogino – last 6
LDLLLD
23 May
@ Zenit Penza
0–1
L
8 May
@ Saturn Ramenskoye
1–1
D
2 May
@ SKA Khabarovsk II
2–4
L
26 Apr
vs Shumbrat
1–2
L
19 Apr
vs FK Spartak Tambov
0–4
L
12 Apr
vs Avangard Kursk
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Metallurg Lipetsk – last 4
WDLW
23 May
vs SKA Khabarovsk II
4–0
W
20 May
@ Avangard Kursk
1–1
D
8 May
vs FK Spartak Tambov
0–1
L
5 Apr
vs Kvant
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Strogino and Metallurg Lipetsk.
What is the prediction for Strogino vs Metallurg Lipetsk?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.39.
Who will win Strogino vs Metallurg Lipetsk?
On our numbers Strogino have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Metallurg Lipetsk 61%.
How many goals will there be in Strogino vs Metallurg Lipetsk?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Strogino vs Metallurg Lipetsk?
Our predicted score is Strogino 0–1 Metallurg Lipetsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Strogino vs Metallurg Lipetsk?
Strogino vs Metallurg Lipetsk (Second League Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
