Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.63 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.63Odds
Picks by market
ResultMetallurg Lipetsk to win ✓65% · @1.41
Double chanceMetallurg Lipetsk or draw ✓88% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.56
Metallurg Lipetsk vs Arsenal Tula II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Metallurg Lipetsk welcome Arsenal Tula II to Stadion Metallurg for a Second League Group 3 fixture on Saturday 6 June (14:00 WAT). In the table, Metallurg Lipetsk are 7th, upper half, on 38 points after 22 matches; Arsenal Tula II are 15th (in the drop zone) with 14. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Metallurg Lipetsk, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Strogino, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Arsenal Tula II, last 5: DLWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Zenit Penza, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Metallurg Lipetsk 2.1 xG, Arsenal Tula II 0.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 58%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Metallurg Lipetsk 65%, draw 23%, Arsenal Tula II 12%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.63 – longer than our fair 1.59, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Metallurg Lipetsk 2–0 Arsenal Tula II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Metallurg Lipetsk65%fair 1.53 · @1.41
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.90
Arsenal Tula II12%fair 8.34 · @6.80
2.78Expected goals
2.06Metallurg Lipetsk xG
0.72Arsenal Tula II xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–013%
2–19%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Metallurg Lipetsk 2.1 – 0.7 Arsenal Tula II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Metallurg Lipetsk to win✓
65%
1.53
1.41
Double chance
Metallurg Lipetsk or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.60
Draw no bet
Metallurg Lipetsk (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Metallurg Lipetsk -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.63
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.23
First team to score
Metallurg Lipetsk to score first✓
70%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Metallurg Lipetsk ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Metallurg Lipetsk / FT Metallurg Lipetsk✓
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.56
–
Recent results
Metallurg Lipetsk – last 5
DWDLW
30 May
@ Strogino
2–2
D
23 May
vs SKA Khabarovsk II
4–0
W
20 May
@ Avangard Kursk
1–1
D
8 May
vs FK Spartak Tambov
0–1
L
5 Apr
vs Kvant
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Arsenal Tula II – last 6
DLWWDL
31 May
vs Zenit Penza
1–1
D
24 May
@ Saturn Ramenskoye
1–2
L
10 May
vs SKA Khabarovsk II
5–4
W
2 May
@ Shumbrat
3–2
W
26 Apr
vs FK Spartak Tambov
1–1
D
12 Apr
vs Volna Nizhegorodskaya
0–3
L
1.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Metallurg Lipetsk and Arsenal Tula II.
What is the prediction for Metallurg Lipetsk vs Arsenal Tula II?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.63.
Who will win Metallurg Lipetsk vs Arsenal Tula II?
On our numbers Metallurg Lipetsk have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Arsenal Tula II 12%.
How many goals will there be in Metallurg Lipetsk vs Arsenal Tula II?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Metallurg Lipetsk vs Arsenal Tula II?
Our predicted score is Metallurg Lipetsk 2–0 Arsenal Tula II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Metallurg Lipetsk vs Arsenal Tula II?
Metallurg Lipetsk vs Arsenal Tula II (Second League Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 6 June 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Metallurg.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
