Zenit Penza v Metallurg Lipetsk Prediction & Expected Goals (13 Jun) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultMetallurg Lipetsk to win ✓70% · @1.13

Double chanceMetallurg Lipetsk or draw ✓89% · fair 1.13

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.60

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.16

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.33

Zenit Penza vs Metallurg Lipetsk: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Zenit Penza welcome Metallurg Lipetsk for a Second League Group 3 fixture on Saturday 13 June (14:00 WAT). In the table, Zenit Penza are 12th, lower half, on 23 points after 21 matches; Metallurg Lipetsk are 7th (upper half) with 38. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Zenit Penza, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Saturn Ramenskoye, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Metallurg Lipetsk, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Arsenal Tula II, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Metallurg Lipetsk, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Zenit Penza.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Zenit Penza 0.8 xG, Metallurg Lipetsk 2.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Zenit Penza 11%, draw 19%, Metallurg Lipetsk 70%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.60.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.60 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 52%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (66%, odds 1.46). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zenit Penza 0–2 Metallurg Lipetsk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Zenit Penza11%fair 8.88 · @16.00

Draw19%fair 5.34 · @6.05

Metallurg Lipetsk70%fair 1.43 · @1.13

2.80Expected goals

0.78Zenit Penza xG

2.02Metallurg Lipetsk xG

52%Both score

55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–212%

0–112%

1–210%

1–110%

0–38%

1–37%

From our goals model: Zenit Penza 0.8 – 2.0 Metallurg Lipetsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Metallurg Lipetsk to win ✓	70%	1.43	1.13
Double chance	Metallurg Lipetsk or draw ✓	89%	1.13	–
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	52%	1.94	2.60 ▲
Draw no bet	Metallurg Lipetsk (draw no bet) ✓	86%	1.16	–
Asian handicap	Metallurg Lipetsk -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	66%	1.51	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	77%	1.29	1.16
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	55%	1.81	1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	66%	1.52	1.46
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	81%	1.23	1.16
First team to score	Metallurg Lipetsk to score first ✓	68%	1.48	–
Half-time result	Metallurg Lipetsk ahead at half-time ✓	47%	2.11	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Metallurg Lipetsk / FT Metallurg Lipetsk ✓	43%	2.34	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	10%	10.33	–

Zenit Penza – last 6

LDWLLW

6 Jun	@ Saturn Ramenskoye	0–1	L
31 May	@ Arsenal Tula II	1–1	D
23 May	vs Strogino	1–0	W
15 May	@ SKA Khabarovsk II	0–5	L
8 May	vs Shumbrat	1–3	L
4 Apr	vs Rotor-2	2–0	W

0.8Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Metallurg Lipetsk – last 6

WDWDLW

6 Jun	vs Arsenal Tula II	3–1	W
30 May	@ Strogino	2–2	D
23 May	vs SKA Khabarovsk II	4–0	W
20 May	@ Avangard Kursk	1–1	D
8 May	vs FK Spartak Tambov	0–1	L
5 Apr	vs Kvant	2–0	W

2.0Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Volna Nizhegorodskaya	22	18	2	2	+34	56
2	FK Spartak Tambov	22	17	2	3	+25	53
3	Shumbrat	22	12	4	6	+11	40
4	Saturn Ramenskoye	22	12	4	6	+10	40
5	Ryazan	21	11	7	3	+22	40
6	Salyut-Belgorod	22	12	3	7	+16	39
7	Metallurg Lipetsk	22	11	5	6	+14	38
8	Avangard Kursk	22	8	6	8	-1	30
9	Rodina Moskva III	22	8	4	10	+3	28
10	Strogino	22	7	4	11	-10	25
11	SKA Khabarovsk II	22	7	3	12	-8	24
12	Zenit Penza	21	7	2	12	-16	23
13	Orel	22	6	5	11	-13	23
14	Rotor-2	22	4	2	16	-20	14
15	Arsenal Tula II	22	2	8	12	-25	14
16	Kvant	22	1	3	18	-42	6

Team

Pts

Volna Nizhegorodskaya

+34

+25

+11

+10

+22

+16

+14

-1

-10

-8

-16

-13

-20

-25

-42

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Zenit Penza vs Metallurg Lipetsk?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.46.

Who will win Zenit Penza vs Metallurg Lipetsk?

On our numbers Zenit Penza have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Metallurg Lipetsk 70%.

How many goals will there be in Zenit Penza vs Metallurg Lipetsk?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Zenit Penza vs Metallurg Lipetsk?

Our predicted score is Zenit Penza 0–2 Metallurg Lipetsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Zenit Penza vs Metallurg Lipetsk?

Zenit Penza vs Metallurg Lipetsk (Second League Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 13 June 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Zenit Penza v Metallurg Lipetsk: numbers & prediction