Value bet: Salyut-Belgorod to win @ 1.89 – our chance 61% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSalyut-Belgorod to win ✓61% · @1.89
Double chanceSalyut-Belgorod or draw ✓85% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.68
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.38
Arsenal Tula II vs Salyut-Belgorod: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Salyut-Belgorod travel to face Arsenal Tula II on Sunday 28 June in the Second League Group 3 – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Arsenal Tula II are 15th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 22 matches; Salyut-Belgorod are 6th (upper half) with 39. There are 25 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Arsenal Tula II, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Orel, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Salyut-Belgorod, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Strogino, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arsenal Tula II 0.8 xG, Salyut-Belgorod 2.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arsenal Tula II 15%, draw 25%, Salyut-Belgorod 61%.
Lower-risk option: Salyut-Belgorod or draw (85%) at 1.16.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.68.
Price worth noting: Salyut-Belgorod to win @1.89 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.23). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arsenal Tula II 0–2 Salyut-Belgorod. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arsenal Tula II15%fair 6.74 · @4.05
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @2.97
Salyut-Belgorod61%fair 1.65 · @1.89
2.74Expected goals
0.76Arsenal Tula II xG
1.98Salyut-Belgorod xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
0–213%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–06%
From our goals model: Arsenal Tula II 0.8 – 2.0 Salyut-Belgorod expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Salyut-Belgorod to win✓
61%
1.65
1.89 ▲
Double chance
Salyut-Belgorod or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.16
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.68
Draw no bet
Salyut-Belgorod (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Salyut-Belgorod -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.23
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.31
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Salyut-Belgorod to score first✓
67%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Salyut-Belgorod ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Salyut-Belgorod / FT Salyut-Belgorod✓
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.38
–
Recent results
Arsenal Tula II – last 6
LDLDLW
20 Jun
@ Orel
1–4
L
14 Jun
vs Rodina Moskva III
1–1
D
6 Jun
@ Metallurg Lipetsk
1–3
L
31 May
vs Zenit Penza
1–1
D
24 May
@ Saturn Ramenskoye
1–2
L
10 May
vs SKA Khabarovsk II
5–4
W
1.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Salyut-Belgorod – last 6
WWLLDL
20 Jun
vs Strogino
1–0
W
13 Jun
@ SKA Khabarovsk II
1–0
W
6 Jun
vs Shumbrat
0–2
L
30 May
@ FK Spartak Tambov
0–1
L
23 May
vs Avangard Kursk
2–2
D
8 May
vs Ryazan
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arsenal Tula II and Salyut-Belgorod.
What is the prediction for Arsenal Tula II vs Salyut-Belgorod?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Arsenal Tula II vs Salyut-Belgorod?
On our numbers Arsenal Tula II have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Salyut-Belgorod 61%.
How many goals will there be in Arsenal Tula II vs Salyut-Belgorod?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal Tula II vs Salyut-Belgorod?
Our predicted score is Arsenal Tula II 0–2 Salyut-Belgorod, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Arsenal Tula II vs Salyut-Belgorod?
Arsenal Tula II vs Salyut-Belgorod (Second League Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
