Value bet: Salyut-Belgorod to win @ 1.68 – our chance 64% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSalyut-Belgorod to win ✓64% · @1.68
Double chanceSalyut-Belgorod or draw ✓86% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.25
Zenit Penza vs Salyut-Belgorod: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Wednesday 1 July: Zenit Penza v Salyut-Belgorod in the Second League Group 3, played at Salyut Stadium. In the table, Zenit Penza are 12th, lower half, on 23 points after 21 matches; Salyut-Belgorod are 6th (upper half) with 39. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Zenit Penza, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Orel, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Salyut-Belgorod, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Arsenal Tula II, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Salyut-Belgorod, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Zenit Penza.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Zenit Penza 0.9 xG, Salyut-Belgorod 2.2 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Zenit Penza 14%, draw 22%, Salyut-Belgorod 64%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Salyut-Belgorod to win @1.68 – the bookmaker implies 60%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zenit Penza 0–2 Salyut-Belgorod. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Zenit Penza14%fair 7.05 · @4.70
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.28
Salyut-Belgorod64%fair 1.56 · @1.68
3.06Expected goals
0.86Zenit Penza xG
2.20Salyut-Belgorod xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–211%
0–110%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Zenit Penza 0.9 – 2.2 Salyut-Belgorod expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Salyut-Belgorod to win✓
64%
1.56
1.68 ▲
Double chance
Salyut-Belgorod or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.73
Draw no bet
Salyut-Belgorod (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Salyut-Belgorod -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.79
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
First team to score
Salyut-Belgorod to score first✓
69%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Salyut-Belgorod ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Salyut-Belgorod / FT Salyut-Belgorod✓
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
10%
10.25
–
Recent results
Zenit Penza – last 6
WLLLDW
27 Jun
vs Orel
3–1
W
20 Jun
@ Rodina Moskva III
1–9
L
13 Jun
vs Metallurg Lipetsk
2–3
L
6 Jun
@ Saturn Ramenskoye
0–1
L
31 May
@ Arsenal Tula II
1–1
D
23 May
vs Strogino
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Salyut-Belgorod – last 6
WWWLLD
28 Jun
@ Arsenal Tula II
4–0
W
20 Jun
vs Strogino
1–0
W
13 Jun
@ SKA Khabarovsk II
1–0
W
6 Jun
vs Shumbrat
0–2
L
30 May
@ FK Spartak Tambov
0–1
L
23 May
vs Avangard Kursk
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zenit Penza and Salyut-Belgorod.
What is the prediction for Zenit Penza vs Salyut-Belgorod?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Zenit Penza vs Salyut-Belgorod?
On our numbers Zenit Penza have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Salyut-Belgorod 64%.
How many goals will there be in Zenit Penza vs Salyut-Belgorod?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zenit Penza vs Salyut-Belgorod?
Our predicted score is Zenit Penza 0–2 Salyut-Belgorod, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Zenit Penza vs Salyut-Belgorod?
Zenit Penza vs Salyut-Belgorod (Second League Group 3) kicks off on Wednesday 1 July 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Salyut Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
