Value bet: FK Spartak Tambov to win @ 1.74 – our chance 62% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFK Spartak Tambov to win ✓62% · @1.74
Double chanceFK Spartak Tambov or draw ✓84% · @1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18
FK Spartak Tambov vs Metallurg Lipetsk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 29 August the Second League Group 3 brings FK Spartak Tambov against Metallurg Lipetsk. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, FK Spartak Tambov are 2nd, among the top four, on 53 points after 22 matches; Metallurg Lipetsk are 7th (upper half) with 38. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
FK Spartak Tambov, last 5: DLDDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ryazan, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Metallurg Lipetsk, last 5: WLDDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Avangard Kursk, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Metallurg Lipetsk, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for FK Spartak Tambov.
Head to head
When they last met (8 May 2026) it ended Metallurg Lipetsk 0–1 FK Spartak Tambov.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FK Spartak Tambov 1.9 xG, Metallurg Lipetsk 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FK Spartak Tambov 62%, draw 22%, Metallurg Lipetsk 16%.
Lower-risk option: FK Spartak Tambov or draw (84%) at 1.19.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: FK Spartak Tambov to win @1.74 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.21). Most likely score in line with that pick: FK Spartak Tambov 2–0 Metallurg Lipetsk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FK Spartak Tambov62%fair 1.62 · @1.74
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.60
Metallurg Lipetsk16%fair 6.11 · @4.23
2.75Expected goals
1.90FK Spartak Tambov xG
0.86Metallurg Lipetsk xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: FK Spartak Tambov 1.9 – 0.9 Metallurg Lipetsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FK Spartak Tambov vs Metallurg Lipetsk?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win FK Spartak Tambov vs Metallurg Lipetsk?
On our numbers FK Spartak Tambov have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Metallurg Lipetsk 16%.
How many goals will there be in FK Spartak Tambov vs Metallurg Lipetsk?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Spartak Tambov vs Metallurg Lipetsk?
Our predicted score is FK Spartak Tambov 2–0 Metallurg Lipetsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is FK Spartak Tambov vs Metallurg Lipetsk?
FK Spartak Tambov vs Metallurg Lipetsk (Second League Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
