Arsenal Tula II 16%Draw 20%Strogino 64%Expected goals 0.81 – 1.90
84%
Betarazi pick
Strogino or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.21 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.21Odds
2
Value bet: Strogino to win @ 1.75 – our chance 64% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultStrogino to win ✓64% · @1.75
Double chanceStrogino or draw ✓84% · @1.21
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.86
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.90
Arsenal Tula II vs Strogino: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:00 WAT, Sunday 6 September: Arsenal Tula II v Strogino in the Second League Group 3. In the table, Arsenal Tula II are 15th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 22 matches; Strogino are 10th (lower half) with 25.
Current form
Arsenal Tula II, last 5: DDDDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with SKA Khabarovsk II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Strogino, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Saturn Ramenskoye, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Strogino, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Arsenal Tula II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arsenal Tula II 0.8 xG, Strogino 1.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arsenal Tula II 16%, draw 20%, Strogino 64%.
Lower-risk option: Strogino or draw (84%) at 1.21.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.86.
Price worth noting: Strogino to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Strogino or draw (84%, odds 1.21). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arsenal Tula II 0–1 Strogino. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arsenal Tula II16%fair 6.24 · @3.93
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.80
Strogino64%fair 1.57 · @1.75
2.71Expected goals
0.81Arsenal Tula II xG
1.90Strogino xG
50%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Arsenal Tula II 0.8 – 1.9 Strogino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Strogino to win✓
64%
1.57
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Strogino or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.21
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
1.86
Draw no bet
Strogino (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Strogino -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.27
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.26
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.09
First team to score
Strogino to score first✓
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Strogino ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Strogino / FT Strogino✓
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.90
–
Recent results
Arsenal Tula II – last 6
DDDDLL
29 Aug
@ SKA Khabarovsk II
0–0
D
23 Aug
vs Shumbrat
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ FK Spartak Tambov
1–1
D
9 Aug
vs Avangard Kursk
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Volna Nizhegorodskaya
0–2
L
26 Jul
vs Ryazan
0–5
L
0.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Strogino – last 6
LLDLWW
30 Aug
vs Saturn Ramenskoye
0–2
L
22 Aug
vs SKA Khabarovsk II
1–2
L
15 Aug
@ Shumbrat
1–1
D
12 Aug
vs Torpedo Vladimir
0–3
L
8 Aug
@ FK Spartak Tambov
1–0
W
1 Aug
@ Avangard Kursk
3–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arsenal Tula II and Strogino.
What is the prediction for Arsenal Tula II vs Strogino?
Our pick is Strogino or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Arsenal Tula II vs Strogino?
On our numbers Arsenal Tula II have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Strogino 64%.
How many goals will there be in Arsenal Tula II vs Strogino?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal Tula II vs Strogino?
Our predicted score is Arsenal Tula II 0–1 Strogino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Arsenal Tula II vs Strogino?
Arsenal Tula II vs Strogino (Second League Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
