Value bet: Zenit Penza to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultStrogino to win ✓38% · @2.42
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.34
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.63
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.96
Strogino vs Zenit Penza: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Zenit Penza travel to face Strogino on Sunday 13 September in the Second League Group 3 – the ball rolls at 12:30 WAT. In the table, Strogino are 10th, lower half, on 25 points after 22 matches; Zenit Penza are 12th (lower half) with 23. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Strogino, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Arsenal Tula II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Zenit Penza, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over SKA Khabarovsk II, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Zenit Penza, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Strogino.
Head to head
When they last met (23 May 2026) it ended Zenit Penza 1–0 Strogino.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Strogino 1.4 xG, Zenit Penza 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Strogino 38%, draw 24%, Zenit Penza 38%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.63.
Price worth noting: Zenit Penza to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Strogino 1–1 Zenit Penza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Strogino38%fair 2.64 · @2.42
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.00
Zenit Penza38%fair 2.64 · @2.90
2.82Expected goals
1.41Strogino xG
1.41Zenit Penza xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–08%
0–18%
2–18%
1–28%
0–06%
From our goals model: Strogino 1.4 – 1.4 Zenit Penza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Strogino vs Zenit Penza?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Strogino vs Zenit Penza?
On our numbers Strogino have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Zenit Penza 38%.
How many goals will there be in Strogino vs Zenit Penza?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Strogino vs Zenit Penza?
Our predicted score is Strogino 1–1 Zenit Penza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Strogino vs Zenit Penza?
Strogino vs Zenit Penza (Second League Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
