Double chanceMetallurg Lipetsk or draw ✓87% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.25
Arsenal Tula II vs Metallurg Lipetsk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Metallurg Lipetsk travel to face Arsenal Tula II on Sunday 27 September in the Second League Group 3 – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Arsenal Tula II are 15th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 22 matches; Metallurg Lipetsk are 7th (upper half) with 38. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Arsenal Tula II, last 5: DLLDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Zenit Penza, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Metallurg Lipetsk, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Strogino, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Metallurg Lipetsk, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Arsenal Tula II.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Jun 2026) it ended Metallurg Lipetsk 3–1 Arsenal Tula II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arsenal Tula II 0.8 xG, Metallurg Lipetsk 2.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arsenal Tula II 13%, draw 23%, Metallurg Lipetsk 64%.
Lower-risk option: Metallurg Lipetsk or draw (87%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.93.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arsenal Tula II 0–2 Metallurg Lipetsk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arsenal Tula II13%fair 7.57 · @5.00
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @4.40
Metallurg Lipetsk64%fair 1.56 · @1.51
2.81Expected goals
0.81Arsenal Tula II xG
2.00Metallurg Lipetsk xG
51%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–212%
0–112%
1–210%
1–110%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Arsenal Tula II 0.8 – 2.0 Metallurg Lipetsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Arsenal Tula II vs Metallurg Lipetsk?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Arsenal Tula II vs Metallurg Lipetsk?
On our numbers Arsenal Tula II have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Metallurg Lipetsk 64%.
How many goals will there be in Arsenal Tula II vs Metallurg Lipetsk?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal Tula II vs Metallurg Lipetsk?
Our predicted score is Arsenal Tula II 0–2 Metallurg Lipetsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Arsenal Tula II vs Metallurg Lipetsk?
Arsenal Tula II vs Metallurg Lipetsk (Second League Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
