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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ryazan v Avangard Kursk: numbers & prediction

Ryazan

WWDWL
4–0
FT
Ryazan 63%Draw 19%Avangard Kursk 18% Expected goals 1.81 – 0.79
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.26 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.26Odds

Picks by market

ResultRyazan to win ✓63% · @1.61
Double chanceRyazan or draw ✓82% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.42

Ryazan vs Avangard Kursk: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 4 October the Second League Group 3 brings Ryazan against Avangard Kursk. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Ryazan are 5th, upper half, on 40 points after 21 matches; Avangard Kursk are 8th (upper half) with 30.

Current form

Ryazan, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Zenit Penza, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Avangard Kursk, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Rotor-2, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Ryazan, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Avangard Kursk.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Jun 2026) it ended Avangard Kursk 0–0 Ryazan.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ryazan 1.8 xG, Avangard Kursk 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ryazan 63%, draw 19%, Avangard Kursk 18%.
  • Lower-risk option: Ryazan or draw (82%) at 1.16.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.26). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ryazan 2–0 Avangard Kursk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ryazan63%fair 1.58 · @1.61
Draw19%fair 5.28 · @4.22
Avangard Kursk18%fair 5.69 · @5.20
2.59Expected goals
1.81Ryazan xG
0.79Avangard Kursk xG
52%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%

From our goals model: Ryazan 1.8 – 0.8 Avangard Kursk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRyazan to win ✓63%1.581.61
Double chanceRyazan or draw ✓82%1.211.16
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.941.83
Draw no betRyazan (draw no bet) ✓78%1.28–
Asian handicapRyazan -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.361.26
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗50%1.991.90
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗71%1.401.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.161.09
First team to scoreRyazan to score first ✓64%1.55–
Half-time resultRyazan ahead at half-time ✓44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ryazan / FT Ryazan ✓39%2.58–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.42–

Recent results

Ryazan – last 6

WWDWLW
30 Sepvs Zenit Penza2–0W
26 Sep@ Volna Nizhegorodskaya2–0W
17 Sepvs Saturn Ramenskoye2–2D
11 Sepvs Rotor-22–0W
8 Sepvs Spartak Kostroma0–2L
5 Sep@ Kvant3–1W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Avangard Kursk – last 6

DDLWLL
26 Sepvs Rotor-21–1D
21 Sep@ Kvant1–1D
12 Sepvs Salyut-Belgorod1–3L
5 Sepvs Orel3–2W
29 Augvs Rodina Moskva III0–2L
25 Augvs Kaluga1–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Jun 2026Avangard Kursk v Ryazan0–0
Ryazan vs Avangard Kursk head-to-head page →

Second League Group 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Volna Nizhegorodskaya221822+3456
2FK Spartak Tambov221723+2553
3Shumbrat221246+1140
4Saturn Ramenskoye221246+1040
5Ryazan211173+2240
6Salyut-Belgorod221237+1639
7Metallurg Lipetsk221156+1438
8Avangard Kursk22868-130
9Rodina Moskva III228410+328
10Strogino227411-1025
11SKA Khabarovsk II227312-824
12Zenit Penza217212-1623
13Orel226511-1323
14Rotor-2224216-2014
15Arsenal Tula II222812-2514
16Kvant221318-426

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ryazan vs Avangard Kursk?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.

Who will win Ryazan vs Avangard Kursk?

On our numbers Ryazan have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Avangard Kursk 18%.

How many goals will there be in Ryazan vs Avangard Kursk?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ryazan vs Avangard Kursk?

Our predicted score is Ryazan 2–0 Avangard Kursk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Ryazan vs Avangard Kursk?

Ryazan vs Avangard Kursk (Second League Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.