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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Salyut-Belgorod v Arsenal Tula II: numbers & prediction

Second League Group 3 · Russia · Salyut Stadium
3–0
FT
Salyut-Belgorod 71%Draw 20%Arsenal Tula II 9% Expected goals 2.13 – 0.64
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.06 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSalyut-Belgorod to win ✓71% · @1.33
Double chanceSalyut-Belgorod or draw ✓91% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.06
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.99

Salyut-Belgorod vs Arsenal Tula II: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Salyut-Belgorod welcome Arsenal Tula II to Salyut Stadium for a Second League Group 3 fixture on Saturday 17 October (11:00 WAT). In the table, Salyut-Belgorod are 6th, upper half, on 39 points after 22 matches; Arsenal Tula II are 15th (in the drop zone) with 14. There are 25 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Salyut-Belgorod, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 6–1 win over Strogino, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Arsenal Tula II, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Orel, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Salyut-Belgorod, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Arsenal Tula II.

Head to head

When they last met (28 Jun 2026) it ended Arsenal Tula II 0–4 Salyut-Belgorod.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Salyut-Belgorod 2.1 xG, Arsenal Tula II 0.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Salyut-Belgorod 71%, draw 20%, Arsenal Tula II 9%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.06.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.06 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 53%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Salyut-Belgorod 2–0 Arsenal Tula II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Salyut-Belgorod71%fair 1.40 · @1.33
Draw20%fair 5.06 · @4.70
Arsenal Tula II9%fair 11.06 · @7.95
2.78Expected goals
2.13Salyut-Belgorod xG
0.64Arsenal Tula II xG
53%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–014%
1–013%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
3–16%

From our goals model: Salyut-Belgorod 2.1 – 0.6 Arsenal Tula II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSalyut-Belgorod to win ✓71%1.401.33
Double chanceSalyut-Belgorod or draw ✓91%1.101.05
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.902.06 ▲
Draw no betSalyut-Belgorod (draw no bet) ✓89%1.13–
Asian handicapSalyut-Belgorod -1 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.311.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓53%1.871.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.471.38
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.211.14
First team to scoreSalyut-Belgorod to score first ✓72%1.39–
Half-time resultSalyut-Belgorod ahead at half-time ✓51%1.95–
Half-time / full-timeHT Salyut-Belgorod / FT Salyut-Belgorod ✓48%2.10–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.99–

Recent results

Salyut-Belgorod – last 6

WWWDWL
11 Oct@ Strogino6–1W
3 Octvs SKA Khabarovsk II3–1W
26 Sep@ Shumbrat1–0W
19 Sepvs FK Spartak Tambov2–2D
12 Sep@ Avangard Kursk3–1W
5 Sepvs Volna Nizhegorodskaya0–2L
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Arsenal Tula II – last 6

WLDDLL
11 Octvs Orel1–0W
3 Oct@ Rodina Moskva III0–1L
27 Sepvs Metallurg Lipetsk0–0D
19 Sep@ Zenit Penza0–0D
13 Sepvs Saturn Ramenskoye1–2L
6 Sepvs Strogino1–2L
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Jun 2026Arsenal Tula II v Salyut-Belgorod0–4
Salyut-Belgorod vs Arsenal Tula II head-to-head page →

Second League Group 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Volna Nizhegorodskaya221822+3456
2FK Spartak Tambov221723+2553
3Shumbrat221246+1140
4Saturn Ramenskoye221246+1040
5Ryazan211173+2240
6Salyut-Belgorod221237+1639
7Metallurg Lipetsk221156+1438
8Avangard Kursk22868-130
9Rodina Moskva III228410+328
10Strogino227411-1025
11SKA Khabarovsk II227312-824
12Zenit Penza217212-1623
13Orel226511-1323
14Rotor-2224216-2014
15Arsenal Tula II222812-2514
16Kvant221318-426

More Second League Group 3 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Salyut-Belgorod vs Arsenal Tula II?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Salyut-Belgorod vs Arsenal Tula II?

On our numbers Salyut-Belgorod have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Arsenal Tula II 9%.

How many goals will there be in Salyut-Belgorod vs Arsenal Tula II?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Salyut-Belgorod vs Arsenal Tula II?

Our predicted score is Salyut-Belgorod 2–0 Arsenal Tula II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Salyut-Belgorod vs Arsenal Tula II?

Salyut-Belgorod vs Arsenal Tula II (Second League Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Salyut Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.