Orenburg II vs Nosta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nosta travel to face Orenburg II on Sunday 3 May in the Second League Group 4 – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Orenburg II are 7th, lower half, on 26 points after 22 matches; Nosta are 11th (in the drop zone) with 18.
Current form
Orenburg II, last 5: DWDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Dinamo Barnaul, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Nosta, last 5: DLWDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Rubin Kazan 2, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Orenburg II, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Nosta.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Orenburg II 2.2 xG, Nosta 1.2 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 69% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Orenburg II 60%, draw 22%, Nosta 18%.
Lower-risk option: Orenburg II or draw (82%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.36.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Orenburg II 2–1 Nosta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Orenburg II60%fair 1.66 · @1.56
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @4.10
Nosta18%fair 5.50 · @4.40
3.49Expected goals
2.24Orenburg II xG
1.25Nosta xG
66%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Orenburg II 2.2 – 1.2 Nosta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Orenburg II to win✓
60%
1.66
1.56
Double chance
Orenburg II or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.52
1.36
Draw no bet
Orenburg II (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Nosta +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.90
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.36
First team to score
Orenburg II to score first✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Orenburg II ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Orenburg II / FT Orenburg II✓
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.46
–
Recent results
Orenburg II – last 5
DWDDW
29 Apr
vs Dinamo Barnaul
1–1
D
26 Apr
vs Akron II
3–1
W
19 Apr
@ Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
2–2
D
13 Apr
vs Ural II
2–2
D
5 Apr
@ Chelyabinsk II
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Nosta – last 5
DLWDL
29 Apr
vs Rubin Kazan 2
2–2
D
26 Apr
@ Krylya Sovetov II
2–4
L
19 Apr
@ Dinamo Barnaul
3–2
W
12 Apr
vs Akron II
2–2
D
5 Apr
@ Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
1–4
L
2.0Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Orenburg II and Nosta.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Orenburg II vs Nosta?
On our numbers Orenburg II have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Nosta 18%.
How many goals will there be in Orenburg II vs Nosta?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orenburg II vs Nosta?
Our predicted score is Orenburg II 2–1 Nosta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Orenburg II vs Nosta?
Orenburg II vs Nosta (Second League Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
