Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.41 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.41Odds
Picks by market
ResultKhimik Dzerzhinsk to win ✓73% · @1.19
Double chanceKhimik Dzerzhinsk or draw ✓89% · fair 1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.86
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65% · @1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.74
Khimik Dzerzhinsk vs Dinamo Barnaul: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 17 May the Second League Group 4 brings Khimik Dzerzhinsk against Dinamo Barnaul at Khimik Stadium. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Khimik Dzerzhinsk are 1st, leading the league, on 56 points after 22 matches; Dinamo Barnaul are 6th (upper half) with 26. There are 30 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Khimik Dzerzhinsk, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Akron II, away. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Dinamo Barnaul, last 5: DLDDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Izhevsk, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Khimik Dzerzhinsk, collecting 2.4 points per game to 0.5 for Dinamo Barnaul.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Khimik Dzerzhinsk 2.5 xG, Dinamo Barnaul 0.9 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 56% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Khimik Dzerzhinsk 73%, draw 16%, Dinamo Barnaul 11%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.86.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.41). Most likely score in line with that pick: Khimik Dzerzhinsk 2–1 Dinamo Barnaul. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Khimik Dzerzhinsk73%fair 1.37 · @1.19
Draw16%fair 6.13 · @5.85
Dinamo Barnaul11%fair 9.36 · @10.25
3.42Expected goals
2.53Khimik Dzerzhinsk xG
0.89Dinamo Barnaul xG
56%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–19%
3–09%
1–08%
3–18%
1–17%
From our goals model: Khimik Dzerzhinsk 2.5 – 0.9 Dinamo Barnaul expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Khimik Dzerzhinsk to win✓
73%
1.37
1.19
Double chance
Khimik Dzerzhinsk or draw✓
89%
1.12
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
1.86
Draw no bet
Khimik Dzerzhinsk (draw no bet)✓
87%
1.15
–
Asian handicap
Khimik Dzerzhinsk -1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.41
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.65
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
1.24
First team to score
Khimik Dzerzhinsk to score first✓
72%
1.40
–
Half-time result
Khimik Dzerzhinsk ahead at half-time✓
54%
1.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Khimik Dzerzhinsk / FT Khimik Dzerzhinsk✓
50%
2.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.74
–
Recent results
Khimik Dzerzhinsk – last 5
WWWWL
10 May
@ Akron II
5–1
W
29 Apr
@ Ural II
3–1
W
19 Apr
vs Krylya Sovetov II
2–1
W
12 Apr
@ Izhevsk
2–1
W
5 Apr
vs KDV
2–3
L
2.8Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Dinamo Barnaul – last 6
DLDDLL
10 May
vs Izhevsk
1–1
D
3 May
@ KDV
1–3
L
29 Apr
@ Orenburg II
1–1
D
26 Apr
@ Rubin Kazan 2
1–1
D
19 Apr
vs Nosta
2–3
L
9 Apr
@ Krylya Sovetov II
1–4
L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Khimik Dzerzhinsk and Dinamo Barnaul.
What is the prediction for Khimik Dzerzhinsk vs Dinamo Barnaul?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.41.
Who will win Khimik Dzerzhinsk vs Dinamo Barnaul?
On our numbers Khimik Dzerzhinsk have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Dinamo Barnaul 11%.
How many goals will there be in Khimik Dzerzhinsk vs Dinamo Barnaul?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Khimik Dzerzhinsk vs Dinamo Barnaul?
Our predicted score is Khimik Dzerzhinsk 2–1 Dinamo Barnaul, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Khimik Dzerzhinsk vs Dinamo Barnaul?
Khimik Dzerzhinsk vs Dinamo Barnaul (Second League Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Khimik Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
