Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultKhimik Dzerzhinsk to win ✓70% · @1.33
Double chanceKhimik Dzerzhinsk or draw ✓89% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.47
Khimik Dzerzhinsk vs Orenburg II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Khimik Dzerzhinsk welcome Orenburg II to Khimik Stadium for a Second League Group 4 fixture on Sunday 16 August (16:00 WAT). In the table, Khimik Dzerzhinsk are 1st, leading the league, on 56 points after 22 matches; Orenburg II are 7th (lower half) with 26. There are 30 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Khimik Dzerzhinsk, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Nosta, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Orenburg II, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Izhevsk, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Khimik Dzerzhinsk, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Orenburg II.
Head to head
When they last met (7 Jun 2026) it ended Orenburg II 1–2 Khimik Dzerzhinsk.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Khimik Dzerzhinsk 2.2 xG, Orenburg II 0.8 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 53% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Khimik Dzerzhinsk 70%, draw 18%, Orenburg II 11%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.23). Most likely score in line with that pick: Khimik Dzerzhinsk 2–0 Orenburg II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Khimik Dzerzhinsk70%fair 1.42 · @1.33
Draw18%fair 5.47 · @4.30
Orenburg II11%fair 8.73 · @8.40
3.00Expected goals
2.22Khimik Dzerzhinsk xG
0.77Orenburg II xG
53%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Khimik Dzerzhinsk 2.2 – 0.8 Orenburg II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Khimik Dzerzhinsk vs Orenburg II?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Khimik Dzerzhinsk vs Orenburg II?
On our numbers Khimik Dzerzhinsk have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Orenburg II 11%.
How many goals will there be in Khimik Dzerzhinsk vs Orenburg II?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Khimik Dzerzhinsk vs Orenburg II?
Our predicted score is Khimik Dzerzhinsk 2–0 Orenburg II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Khimik Dzerzhinsk vs Orenburg II?
Khimik Dzerzhinsk vs Orenburg II (Second League Group 4) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Khimik Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
