Value bet: ASA to win @ 4.10 – our chance 29% vs 24% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultBotafogo PB to win42% · @1.96
Double chanceEither team to win71% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals83% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–17% · fair 13.99
Botafogo PB vs ASA: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 29 March the Copa Do Nordeste brings Botafogo PB against ASA. Kick-off: 22:30 WAT.
Current form
Botafogo PB, last 3: WDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Vitoria, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
ASA, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Piauí, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.4 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Botafogo PB 1.1 xG, ASA 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Botafogo PB 42%, draw 29%, ASA 29%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: ASA to win @4.10 – the bookmaker implies 24%, our ratings say 29%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Botafogo PB 1–0 ASA. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Botafogo PB42%fair 2.39 · @1.96
Draw29%fair 3.45 · @3.15
ASA29%fair 3.42 · @4.10
2.02Expected goals
1.06Botafogo PB xG
0.96ASA xG
53%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–013%
0–113%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Botafogo PB 1.1 – 1.0 ASA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Botafogo PB to win
42%
2.39
1.96
Double chance
Either team to win
71%
1.41
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
53%
1.88
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Botafogo PB (draw no bet)
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
ASA +0.5 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
62%
1.62
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
64%
1.55
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
83%
1.21
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
92%
1.08
1.05
First team to score
Botafogo PB to score first
46%
2.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw
22%
4.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
7%
13.99
–
Recent results
Botafogo PB – last 3
WDW
25 Mar
@ Vitoria
2–1
W
22 Feb
vs Serra Branca
1–1
D
19 Feb
vs Treze
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
ASA – last 5
WWWLW
24 Mar
vs Piauí
1–0
W
18 Mar
vs Miguelense
6–0
W
2 Mar
@ Penedense
1–0
W
26 Feb
vs Operario Ferroviario
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Murici Fc
3–0
W
2.4Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Botafogo PB and ASA.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Botafogo PB vs ASA?
On our numbers Botafogo PB have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 29% and ASA 29%.
How many goals will there be in Botafogo PB vs ASA?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Botafogo PB vs ASA?
Our predicted score is Botafogo PB 1–0 ASA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Botafogo PB vs ASA?
Botafogo PB vs ASA (Copa Do Nordeste) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Copa Do Nordeste · Brazil
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