Genk vs Charleroi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Genk welcome Charleroi to Cegeka Arena for a Jupiler Pro League fixture on Tuesday 21 April (19:30 WAT). In the table, Genk are 7th, upper half, on 15 points after 11 matches; Charleroi are 4th (among the top four) with 27. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Genk, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Antwerp, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Charleroi, last 4: WLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Antwerp, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Genk, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Charleroi.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Genk 1.6 xG, Charleroi 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Genk 48%, draw 25%, Charleroi 26%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Genk 1–1 Charleroi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Genk48%fair 2.07 · @1.90
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.60
Charleroi26%fair 3.79 · @3.75
2.90Expected goals
1.62Genk xG
1.28Charleroi xG
63%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
1–27%
2–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Genk 1.6 – 1.3 Charleroi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Genk to win✗
48%
2.07
1.90
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.57
Draw no bet
Genk (draw no bet)
65%
1.55
–
Asian handicap
Charleroi +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.17
First team to score
Genk to score first✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Genk / FT Genk✗
27%
3.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.83
–
Recent results
Genk – last 6
WLWWWL
3 Apr
@ Antwerp
2–1
W
19 Mar
@ SC Freiburg
1–5
L
15 Mar
vs St. Truiden
1–0
W
12 Mar
vs SC Freiburg
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Gent
3–0
W
26 Feb
vs Dinamo Zagreb
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Charleroi – last 4
WLLL
10 Apr
vs Antwerp
2–1
W
5 Apr
@ KVC Westerlo
0–2
L
1 Mar
vs Club Brugge KV
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ KVC Westerlo
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Genk and Charleroi.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Genk vs Charleroi?
On our numbers Genk have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Charleroi 26%.
How many goals will there be in Genk vs Charleroi?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Genk vs Charleroi?
Our predicted score is Genk 1–1 Charleroi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Genk vs Charleroi?
Genk vs Charleroi (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Cegeka Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
