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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Standard Liege v OH Leuven: numbers & prediction

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium · Maurice Dufrasne
2–1
FT
Standard Liege 47%Draw 25%OH Leuven 29% Expected goals 1.54 – 1.11
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultStandard Liege to win ✓47% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.74

Standard Liege vs OH Leuven: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 8 May the Jupiler Pro League brings Standard Liege against OH Leuven at Maurice Dufrasne. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Standard Liege are 8th, upper half, on 15 points after 11 matches; OH Leuven are 10th (lower half) with 12. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Standard Liege, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Antwerp, at home. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Standard Liege 1.5 xG, OH Leuven 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Standard Liege 47%, draw 25%, OH Leuven 29%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Standard Liege 1–1 OH Leuven. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Standard Liege47%fair 2.14 · @2.10
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.40
OH Leuven29%fair 3.50 · @3.30
2.65Expected goals
1.54Standard Liege xG
1.11OH Leuven xG
60%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Standard Liege 1.5 – 1.1 OH Leuven expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultStandard Liege to win ✓47%2.142.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.671.62
Draw no betStandard Liege (draw no bet) ✓62%1.61–
Asian handicapOH Leuven +1 (Asian handicap)69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.351.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.981.83
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.421.38
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.171.12
First team to scoreStandard Liege to score first ✗54%1.85–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Standard Liege / FT Standard Liege ✗28%3.53–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%10.74–

Recent results

Standard Liege – last 5

LDWDW
21 Aprvs Antwerp1–2L
15 Mar@ Antwerp1–1D
8 Mar@ Zulte Waregem1–0W
27 Febvs RAAL La Louvière1–1D
22 Feb@ Genk3–0W
1.4Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

OH Leuven – last 1

L
21 Aprvs KVC Westerlo0–2L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Standard Liege and OH Leuven.

Standard Liege vs OH Leuven head-to-head page →

Jupiler Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Union St. Gilloise11920+2329
2Club Brugge KV11911+1828
3Gent11911+1428
4Charleroi11902+1327
5Anderlecht11623+220
6Lommel United11443+216
7Genk11434+315
8Standard Liege11434+215
9KVC Westerlo11425-414
10OH Leuven11335-512
11KV Mechelen11335-712
12St. Truiden11326011
13Antwerp11326-611
14Zulte Waregem11326-711
15SK Beveren11317-1010
16Cercle Brugge11236-89
17RAAL La Louvière11218-117
18Kortrijk11119-194

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Standard Liege vs OH Leuven?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Standard Liege vs OH Leuven?

On our numbers Standard Liege have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 25% and OH Leuven 29%.

How many goals will there be in Standard Liege vs OH Leuven?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Standard Liege vs OH Leuven?

Our predicted score is Standard Liege 1–1 OH Leuven, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Standard Liege vs OH Leuven?

Standard Liege vs OH Leuven (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Maurice Dufrasne.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.