Charleroi vs OH Leuven: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:30 WAT, Tuesday 19 May: Charleroi v OH Leuven in the Jupiler Pro League, played at Stade du Pays de Charleroi. In the table, Charleroi are 4th, among the top four, on 27 points after 11 matches; OH Leuven are 10th (lower half) with 12. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Charleroi, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Antwerp, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Charleroi 1.8 xG, OH Leuven 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Charleroi 56%, draw 23%, OH Leuven 20%.
Lower-risk option: Charleroi or draw (80%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Charleroi 1–1 OH Leuven. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Charleroi56%fair 1.77 · @1.70
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.80
OH Leuven20%fair 4.95 · @4.50
2.87Expected goals
1.83Charleroi xG
1.04OH Leuven xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
3–16%
0–16%
From our goals model: Charleroi 1.8 – 1.0 OH Leuven expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Charleroi to win✗
56%
1.77
1.70
Double chance
Charleroi or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.67
Draw no bet
Charleroi (draw no bet)
74%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
OH Leuven +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.17
First team to score
Charleroi to score first✗
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Charleroi ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Charleroi / FT Charleroi✗
35%
2.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.12
–
Recent results
Charleroi – last 6
WDWLLL
10 May
@ Antwerp
1–0
W
21 Apr
@ Genk
1–1
D
10 Apr
vs Antwerp
2–1
W
5 Apr
@ KVC Westerlo
0–2
L
1 Mar
vs Club Brugge KV
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ KVC Westerlo
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
OH Leuven – last 2
LL
8 May
@ Standard Liege
1–2
L
21 Apr
vs KVC Westerlo
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Charleroi and OH Leuven.
What is the prediction for Charleroi vs OH Leuven?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Charleroi vs OH Leuven?
On our numbers Charleroi have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 23% and OH Leuven 20%.
How many goals will there be in Charleroi vs OH Leuven?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Charleroi vs OH Leuven?
Our predicted score is Charleroi 1–1 OH Leuven, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Charleroi vs OH Leuven?
Charleroi vs OH Leuven (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Tuesday 19 May 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade du Pays de Charleroi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
