Dender 41%Draw 25%RAAL La Louvière 34%Expected goals 1.46 – 1.12
73%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.28
8/10Rating
1.28Odds
1
Value bet: Dender to win @ 2.95 – our chance 41% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultDender to win41% · @2.95
Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.07
Dender vs RAAL La Louvière: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 3 May the Jupiler Pro League brings Dender against RAAL La Louvière at Dender Football Complex. Kick-off: 18:15 WAT.
Current form
Dender, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Cercle Brugge, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
RAAL La Louvière, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Dender, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Apr 2026) it ended RAAL La Louvière 0–1 Dender.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dender 1.5 xG, RAAL La Louvière 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dender 41%, draw 25%, RAAL La Louvière 34%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Dender to win @2.95 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dender 1–1 RAAL La Louvière. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dender41%fair 2.46 · @2.95
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.45
RAAL La Louvière34%fair 2.90 · @2.25
2.58Expected goals
1.46Dender xG
1.12RAAL La Louvière xG
60%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Dender 1.5 – 1.1 RAAL La Louvière expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Dender vs RAAL La Louvière?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Dender vs RAAL La Louvière?
On our numbers Dender have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and RAAL La Louvière 34%.
How many goals will there be in Dender vs RAAL La Louvière?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dender vs RAAL La Louvière?
Our predicted score is Dender 1–1 RAAL La Louvière, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Dender vs RAAL La Louvière?
Dender vs RAAL La Louvière (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time) at Dender Football Complex.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
