Double chanceUnion St. Gilloise or draw ✓85% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.38
Union St. Gilloise vs Gent: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:30 WAT, Wednesday 22 April: Union St. Gilloise v Gent in the Jupiler Pro League, played at Stade Joseph Marien. In the table, Union St. Gilloise are 1st, leading the league, on 29 points after 11 matches; Gent are 3rd (among the top four) with 28. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Gent, last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with St. Truiden, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Union St. Gilloise 1.7 xG, Gent 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Union St. Gilloise 62%, draw 23%, Gent 15%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union St. Gilloise 2–0 Gent. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Union St. Gilloise62%fair 1.61 · @1.44
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @4.20
Gent15%fair 6.53 · @7.60
2.58Expected goals
1.75Union St. Gilloise xG
0.83Gent xG
53%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Union St. Gilloise 1.7 – 0.8 Gent expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union St. Gilloise to win✗
62%
1.61
1.44
Double chance
Union St. Gilloise or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.95
Draw no bet
Union St. Gilloise (draw no bet)
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Gent +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.12
First team to score
Union St. Gilloise to score first✗
63%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Union St. Gilloise ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union St. Gilloise / FT Union St. Gilloise✗
37%
2.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.38
–
Recent results
Union St. Gilloise – last 2
WD
12 Apr
@ KV Mechelen
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ KVC Westerlo
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Gent – last 6
DDWWLL
19 Apr
vs St. Truiden
0–0
D
6 Apr
vs KV Mechelen
1–1
D
13 Mar
vs Zulte Waregem
2–0
W
8 Mar
vs KV Mechelen
3–1
W
1 Mar
@ Genk
0–3
L
20 Feb
vs Cercle Brugge
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union St. Gilloise and Gent.
What is the prediction for Union St. Gilloise vs Gent?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Union St. Gilloise vs Gent?
On our numbers Union St. Gilloise have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Gent 15%.
How many goals will there be in Union St. Gilloise vs Gent?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union St. Gilloise vs Gent?
Our predicted score is Union St. Gilloise 2–0 Gent, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Union St. Gilloise vs Gent?
Union St. Gilloise vs Gent (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Joseph Marien.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
