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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Vitoria v Flamengo: numbers & prediction

Copa Do Brasil · Brazil · Barradao

Vitoria

WDLDW
2–0
FT

Flamengo

WDWWW
Vitoria 21%Draw 23%Flamengo 56% Expected goals 0.93 – 1.88
79%
Betarazi pick

Flamengo or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.28Odds
2

Value bet: Flamengo to win @ 2.00 – our chance 56% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultFlamengo to win ✗56% · @2.00
Double chanceFlamengo or draw ✗79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.10

Vitoria vs Flamengo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 15 May the Copa Do Brasil brings Vitoria against Flamengo at Barradao. Kick-off: 01:30 WAT.

Current form

Vitoria, last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Ceara, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Flamengo, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Gremio, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Flamengo, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.8 for Vitoria.

Head to head

When they last met (23 Apr 2026) it ended Flamengo 2–1 Vitoria.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Vitoria 0.9 xG, Flamengo 1.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Vitoria 21%, draw 23%, Flamengo 56%.
  • Lower-risk option: Flamengo or draw (79%) at 1.28.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.
  • Price worth noting: Flamengo to win @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Flamengo or draw (79%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vitoria 0–1 Flamengo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Vitoria21%fair 4.75 · @3.60
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.40
Flamengo56%fair 1.80 · @2.00
2.82Expected goals
0.93Vitoria xG
1.88Flamengo xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–111%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%

From our goals model: Vitoria 0.9 – 1.9 Flamengo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFlamengo to win ✗56%1.802.00 ▲
Double chanceFlamengo or draw ✗79%1.271.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.761.73
Draw no betFlamengo (draw no bet) ✗73%1.38–
Asian handicapVitoria +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.341.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.951.90
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.431.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.181.11
First team to scoreFlamengo to score first ✗63%1.59–
Half-time resultFlamengo ahead at half-time ✗43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Flamengo / FT Flamengo ✗38%2.66–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.10–

Recent results

Vitoria – last 6

WDLDWW
7 Mayvs Ceara1–0W
30 Apr@ Confiança2–2D
23 Apr@ Flamengo1–2L
19 Aprvs Corinthians0–0D
16 Aprvs Piauí3–1W
8 Aprvs Juazeirense4–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Flamengo – last 6

WDWWWW
10 May@ Gremio1–0W
30 Apr@ Estudiantes L.P.1–1D
23 Aprvs Vitoria2–1W
19 Aprvs Bahia2–0W
17 Aprvs Independiente Medellin4–1W
9 Apr@ Cusco2–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 Apr 2026Flamengo v Vitoria2–1
Vitoria vs Flamengo head-to-head page →

More Copa Do Brasil predictions

League hub
FT CRB0 Fortaleza EC0 142%2.30X28%2.86230%3.50 1.4–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 68%@1.50 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vitoria vs Flamengo?

Our pick is Flamengo or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Vitoria vs Flamengo?

On our numbers Vitoria have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Flamengo 56%.

How many goals will there be in Vitoria vs Flamengo?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Vitoria vs Flamengo?

Our predicted score is Vitoria 0–1 Flamengo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Vitoria vs Flamengo?

Vitoria vs Flamengo (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Friday 15 May 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Barradao.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.