Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.45 – our chance 50% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAtletico Paranaense to win ✗54% · @1.48
Double chanceAtletico Paranaense or draw ✓80% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.45
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.89
Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico Goianiense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atletico Paranaense welcome Atletico Goianiense to Arena da Baixada for a Copa Do Brasil fixture on Friday 24 April (01:30 WAT).
Current form
Atletico Paranaense, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Bahia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Atletico Goianiense, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Tocantinópolis, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Paranaense 1.2 xG, Atletico Goianiense 0.8 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Paranaense 54%, draw 26%, Atletico Goianiense 20%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.45.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Paranaense 1–0 Atletico Goianiense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atletico Paranaense54%fair 1.84 · @1.48
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.80
Atletico Goianiense20%fair 5.03 · @7.60
1.98Expected goals
1.20Atletico Paranaense xG
0.78Atletico Goianiense xG
50%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
0–014%
1–113%
0–111%
2–010%
2–18%
From our goals model: Atletico Paranaense 1.2 – 0.8 Atletico Goianiense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Paranaense to win✗
54%
1.84
1.48
Double chance
Atletico Paranaense or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
2.45 ▲
Draw no bet
Atletico Paranaense (draw no bet)
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Atletico Goianiense +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
1.05
First team to score
Atletico Paranaense to score first✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Paranaense / FT Atletico Paranaense✗
26%
3.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.89
–
Recent results
Atletico Paranaense – last 6
LWWLDL
2 Apr
@ Bahia
0–3
L
29 Mar
vs Botafogo
4–1
W
18 Mar
vs Cruzeiro
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Fluminense
2–3
L
25 Feb
@ RB Bragantino
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Londrina
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Atletico Goianiense – last 6
DWWLLL
16 Apr
@ Tocantinópolis
0–0
D
13 Apr
vs Londrina
2–1
W
8 Apr
vs Cuiaba
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ Vila Nova
1–2
L
1 Apr
vs Nautico Recife
1–2
L
29 Mar
@ Porto Vitória
2–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Paranaense and Atletico Goianiense.
What is the prediction for Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico Goianiense?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico Goianiense?
On our numbers Atletico Paranaense have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Atletico Goianiense 20%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico Goianiense?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico Goianiense?
Our predicted score is Atletico Paranaense 1–0 Atletico Goianiense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico Goianiense?
Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico Goianiense (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena da Baixada.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Operario-PR0
Fluminense0