M'saken v BS Bouhajla Prediction & Expected Goals (5 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultM'saken to win ✗57% · @1.80

Double chanceM'saken or draw ✓83% · @1.12

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓62% · fair 1.62

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.35

M'saken vs BS Bouhajla: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

M'saken welcome BS Bouhajla for a Ligue 2 fixture on Sunday 5 April (14:30 WAT). In the table, M'saken are 4th, among the top four, on 14 points after 7 matches; BS Bouhajla are 26th (in the drop zone) with 5.

Current form

M'saken, last 4: WWLL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over US Ben Guerdane, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

BS Bouhajla, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Bouselem, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.

Momentum favours M'saken, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.4 for BS Bouhajla.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give M'saken 1.4 xG, BS Bouhajla 0.6 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – M'saken 57%, draw 26%, BS Bouhajla 17%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: M'saken 1–0 BS Bouhajla. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

M'saken57%fair 1.75 · @1.80

Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.00

BS Bouhajla17%fair 5.98 · @4.50

2.04Expected goals

1.44M'saken xG

0.60BS Bouhajla xG

38%Both score

34%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–019%

2–013%

0–013%

1–111%

2–18%

0–18%

From our goals model: M'saken 1.4 – 0.6 BS Bouhajla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	M'saken to win ✗	57%	1.75	1.80
Double chance	M'saken or draw ✓	83%	1.20	1.12
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	62%	1.62	–
Draw no bet	M'saken (draw no bet)	77%	1.29	–
Asian handicap	BS Bouhajla +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	70%	1.42	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	61%	1.65	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	66%	1.53	1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	85%	1.18	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	94%	1.06	–
First team to score	M'saken to score first ✗	61%	1.63	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	48%	2.09	–
Half-time / full-time	HT M'saken / FT M'saken ✗	35%	2.90	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	19%	5.35	–

M'saken – last 4

WWLL

22 Mar	vs US Ben Guerdane	4–1	W
27 Feb	vs EM Mahdia	2–0	W
22 Feb	@ CS Hammam-Lif	0–3	L
16 Feb	vs Kerkennah	0–1	L

1.5Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

25%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

BS Bouhajla – last 5

LDLLD

29 Mar	vs Bouselem	0–2	L
23 Mar	vs Ksour Essef	1–1	D
28 Feb	vs ES Hammam-Sousse	0–1	L
22 Feb	@ Sporting Ben Arous	0–1	L
16 Feb	vs EM Mahdia	0–0	D

0.2Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

20%Both scored

0%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	AS Kasserine	7	6	0	1	+7	18
2	EM Mahdia	7	5	2	0	+7	17
3	Ksour Essef	6	4	2	0	+6	14
4	M'saken	7	4	2	1	+5	14
5	CS Chebba	7	4	1	2	+1	13
6	Bouchamma	7	4	1	2	-2	13
7	AS Soliman	7	3	3	1	+5	12
8	Korba	7	3	3	1	+4	12
9	Jendouba Sport	7	3	3	1	+2	12
10	Mégrine	7	3	2	2	+1	11
11	JS Kairouanaise	7	3	2	2	+1	11
12	US Tataouine	7	3	2	2	-1	11
13	Kalaâ Sport	7	3	1	3	+1	10
14	Stade Soussien	7	3	1	3	+1	10
15	Sporting Ben Arous	7	2	3	2	+2	9
16	Ariana	7	2	2	3	0	8
17	Stade Gabesien	7	1	5	1	0	8
18	Sfax Railways	7	1	5	1	0	8
19	EGS Gafsa	7	2	1	4	-2	7
20	AS Agareb	7	1	4	2	-3	7
21	Redeyef	6	2	0	4	+2	6
22	Kerkennah	7	1	3	3	-2	6
23	Olympique du Kef	7	1	2	4	-3	5
24	Béni-Khalled	7	1	2	4	-4	5
25	CO Medenine	7	1	2	4	-7	5
26	BS Bouhajla	7	1	2	4	-7	5
27	AS Gabes	7	0	2	5	-5	2
28	Moknine	7	0	2	5	-9	2

Team

Pts

-2

-1

-2

-3

-2

-3

-4

-7

-7

-5

-9

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for M'saken vs BS Bouhajla?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win M'saken vs BS Bouhajla?

On our numbers M'saken have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 26% and BS Bouhajla 17%.

How many goals will there be in M'saken vs BS Bouhajla?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for M'saken vs BS Bouhajla?

Our predicted score is M'saken 1–0 BS Bouhajla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is M'saken vs BS Bouhajla?

M'saken vs BS Bouhajla (Ligue 2) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

M'saken v BS Bouhajla: numbers & prediction