Value bet: Larisa to win @ 3.10 – our chance 39% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLarisa to win ✗39% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.31
Panetolikos vs Larisa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Larisa travel to face Panetolikos on Tuesday 12 May in the Super League 1, with Panetolikos Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT.
Current form
Panetolikos, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Kifisia, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Larisa, last 4: DLDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Kifisia, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Panetolikos, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.8 for Larisa.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Apr 2026) it ended Larisa 1–2 Panetolikos.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Panetolikos 1.0 xG, Larisa 1.4 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Panetolikos 34%, draw 27%, Larisa 39%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Larisa to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.75, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Panetolikos 1–1 Larisa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Panetolikos34%fair 2.97 · @2.30
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @2.90
Larisa39%fair 2.56 · @3.10
2.41Expected goals
1.02Panetolikos xG
1.39Larisa xG
57%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
0–09%
1–29%
0–29%
From our goals model: Panetolikos 1.0 – 1.4 Larisa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Panetolikos vs Larisa?
On our numbers Panetolikos have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Larisa 39%.
How many goals will there be in Panetolikos vs Larisa?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Panetolikos vs Larisa?
Our predicted score is Panetolikos 1–1 Larisa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Panetolikos vs Larisa?
Panetolikos vs Larisa (Super League 1) kicks off on Tuesday 12 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Panetolikos Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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