Value bet: Larisa to win @ 3.15 – our chance 34% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultKifisia to win ✓40% · @2.16
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.03
Kifisia vs Larisa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Thursday 21 May: Kifisia v Larisa in the Super League 1, played at Municipal Kifisia Stadium Zirineio.
Current form
Kifisia, last 5: LDDDW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Atromitos, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Larisa, last 5: DDLDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Panetolikos, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Apr 2026) it ended Larisa 1–1 Kifisia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kifisia 1.3 xG, Larisa 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kifisia 40%, draw 26%, Larisa 34%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.77.
Price worth noting: Larisa to win @3.15 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kifisia 1–1 Larisa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kifisia40%fair 2.49 · @2.16
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.25
Larisa34%fair 2.94 · @3.15
2.58Expected goals
1.32Kifisia xG
1.26Larisa xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Kifisia 1.3 – 1.3 Larisa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Kifisia vs Larisa?
On our numbers Kifisia have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Larisa 34%.
How many goals will there be in Kifisia vs Larisa?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kifisia vs Larisa?
Our predicted score is Kifisia 1–1 Larisa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Kifisia vs Larisa?
Kifisia vs Larisa (Super League 1) kicks off on Thursday 21 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Municipal Kifisia Stadium Zirineio.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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