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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

AEK Athens FC v PAOK: numbers & prediction

Super League 1 · Greece · Alwyn Arena
3–0
FT

PAOK

DWWWL
AEK Athens FC 45%Draw 26%PAOK 29% Expected goals 1.65 – 1.22
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultAEK Athens FC to win ✓45% · @2.26
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.62

AEK Athens FC vs PAOK: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

PAOK travel to face AEK Athens FC on Sunday 19 April in the Super League 1, with Alwyn Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, AEK Athens FC are 3rd, among the top four, on 20 points after 9 matches; PAOK are 4th (among the top four) with 19. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

AEK Athens FC, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Rayo Vallecano, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

PAOK, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Panathinaikos, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Feb 2026) it ended PAOK 0–0 AEK Athens FC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give AEK Athens FC 1.7 xG, PAOK 1.2 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – AEK Athens FC 45%, draw 26%, PAOK 29%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.77.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: AEK Athens FC 1–1 PAOK. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

AEK Athens FC45%fair 2.22 · @2.26
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @2.96
PAOK29%fair 3.40 · @3.25
2.87Expected goals
1.65AEK Athens FC xG
1.22PAOK xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
2–08%
1–27%
0–17%

From our goals model: AEK Athens FC 1.7 – 1.2 PAOK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAEK Athens FC to win ✓45%2.222.26
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.341.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.711.77
Draw no betAEK Athens FC (draw no bet) ✓60%1.65–
Asian handicapPAOK +1 (Asian handicap) ✗68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.361.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗50%1.991.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.411.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.20–
First team to scoreAEK Athens FC to score first ✓54%1.85–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.47–
Half-time / full-timeHT AEK Athens FC / FT AEK Athens FC ✓29%3.49–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.62–

Recent results

AEK Athens FC – last 6

WLWLDW
16 Aprvs Rayo Vallecano3–1W
9 Apr@ Rayo Vallecano0–3L
5 Apr@ Olympiakos Piraeus1–0W
19 Marvs Celje0–2L
15 Mar@ Atromitos2–2D
12 Mar@ Celje4–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

PAOK – last 6

DWWWLD
5 Aprvs Panathinaikos0–0D
15 Marvs Levadiakos3–0W
4 Mar@ Kifisia4–1W
1 Marvs Asteras Tripolis2–0W
26 Feb@ Celta Vigo0–1L
22 Feb@ Larisa1–1D
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Feb 2026PAOK v AEK Athens FC0–0
AEK Athens FC vs PAOK head-to-head page →

Super League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Panathinaikos10901+1727
2Olympiakos Piraeus10721+1123
3AEK Athens FC9621+1720
4PAOK10613+619
5Aris Thessalonikis10613-119
6OFI10523+217
7Kifisia10424014
8Kalamata10334-412
9Iraklis 190810244-310
10Panetolikos10307-129
11Asteras Tripolis10145-97
12Atromitos9135-36
13Levadiakos10136-96
14Volos NFC10037-120

More Super League 1 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for AEK Athens FC vs PAOK?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win AEK Athens FC vs PAOK?

On our numbers AEK Athens FC have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 26% and PAOK 29%.

How many goals will there be in AEK Athens FC vs PAOK?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for AEK Athens FC vs PAOK?

Our predicted score is AEK Athens FC 1–1 PAOK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is AEK Athens FC vs PAOK?

AEK Athens FC vs PAOK (Super League 1) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Alwyn Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.