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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

PAOK v AEK Athens FC: numbers & prediction

Super League 1 · Greece · Toumba Stadium

PAOK

LDWWW
1–1
FT

AEK Athens FC

WWLWL
PAOK 52%Draw 23%AEK Athens FC 25% Expected goals 1.63 – 1.26
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultPAOK to win ✗52% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.77

PAOK vs AEK Athens FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:30 WAT, Wednesday 13 May: PAOK v AEK Athens FC in the Super League 1, played at Toumba Stadium. In the table, PAOK are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 10 matches; AEK Athens FC are 3rd (among the top four) with 20. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

PAOK, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to AEK Athens FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

AEK Athens FC, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over PAOK, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Apr 2026) it ended AEK Athens FC 3–0 PAOK. The last 2 head-to-heads: PAOK 0 wins, AEK Athens FC 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give PAOK 1.6 xG, AEK Athens FC 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – PAOK 52%, draw 23%, AEK Athens FC 25%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: PAOK 1–1 AEK Athens FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

PAOK52%fair 1.93 · @1.67
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.55
AEK Athens FC25%fair 4.04 · @4.80
2.89Expected goals
1.63PAOK xG
1.26AEK Athens FC xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
2–07%
1–27%
0–17%

From our goals model: PAOK 1.6 – 1.3 AEK Athens FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPAOK to win ✗52%1.931.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.311.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.721.80
Draw no betPAOK (draw no bet)68%1.48–
Asian handicapAEK Athens FC +1 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.331.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.931.93
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.441.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
First team to scorePAOK to score first53%1.88–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.48–
Half-time / full-timeHT PAOK / FT PAOK ✗28%3.63–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.77–

Recent results

PAOK – last 6

LDWWWL
19 Apr@ AEK Athens FC0–3L
5 Aprvs Panathinaikos0–0D
15 Marvs Levadiakos3–0W
4 Mar@ Kifisia4–1W
1 Marvs Asteras Tripolis2–0W
26 Feb@ Celta Vigo0–1L
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

AEK Athens FC – last 6

WWLWLD
19 Aprvs PAOK3–0W
16 Aprvs Rayo Vallecano3–1W
9 Apr@ Rayo Vallecano0–3L
5 Apr@ Olympiakos Piraeus1–0W
19 Marvs Celje0–2L
15 Mar@ Atromitos2–2D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Apr 2026AEK Athens FC v PAOK3–0
15 Feb 2026PAOK v AEK Athens FC0–0
PAOK vs AEK Athens FC head-to-head page →

Super League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Panathinaikos10901+1727
2Olympiakos Piraeus10721+1123
3AEK Athens FC9621+1720
4PAOK10613+619
5Aris Thessalonikis10613-119
6OFI10523+217
7Kifisia10424014
8Kalamata10334-412
9Iraklis 190810244-310
10Panetolikos10307-129
11Asteras Tripolis10145-97
12Atromitos9135-36
13Levadiakos10136-96
14Volos NFC10037-120

More Super League 1 predictions

League hub
FT Levadiakos3 OFI2 149%1.58X26%4.00225%4.85 1.4–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 68%@1.50 ✗
FT Volos NFC1 Aris Thessalonikis2 121%3.80X25%3.35254%1.89 1.1–1.7xG X2Aris Thessalonikis or draw 79%@1.25 ✓
FT Olympiakos Piraeus1 Panathinaikos0 154%1.41X26%3.90221%8.10 1.4–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for PAOK vs AEK Athens FC?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win PAOK vs AEK Athens FC?

On our numbers PAOK have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 23% and AEK Athens FC 25%.

How many goals will there be in PAOK vs AEK Athens FC?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for PAOK vs AEK Athens FC?

Our predicted score is PAOK 1–1 AEK Athens FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is PAOK vs AEK Athens FC?

PAOK vs AEK Athens FC (Super League 1) kicks off on Wednesday 13 May 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Toumba Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.