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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Apoel Nicosia v Apollon Limassol: numbers & prediction

Cup · Cyprus · GSP Stadium
0–0
FT
Apoel Nicosia 40%Draw 24%Apollon Limassol 36% Expected goals 1.79 – 1.71
80%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.28Odds
O2.5

Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultApoel Nicosia to win ✗40% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.10

Apoel Nicosia vs Apollon Limassol: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Apollon Limassol travel to face Apoel Nicosia on Wednesday 29 April in the Cup, with GSP Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT.

Current form

Apoel Nicosia, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Apollon Limassol, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Apollon Limassol, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Apoel Nicosia, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Apollon Limassol, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Apoel Nicosia.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Apr 2026) it ended Apollon Limassol 4–2 Apoel Nicosia. The last 2 head-to-heads: Apoel Nicosia 0 wins, Apollon Limassol 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 5.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Apoel Nicosia 1.8 xG, Apollon Limassol 1.7 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Apoel Nicosia 40%, draw 24%, Apollon Limassol 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.67.
  • Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 59%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Apoel Nicosia 1–1 Apollon Limassol. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Apoel Nicosia40%fair 2.49 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.30
Apollon Limassol36%fair 2.79 · @2.95
3.50Expected goals
1.79Apoel Nicosia xG
1.71Apollon Limassol xG
63%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–05%
0–15%

From our goals model: Apoel Nicosia 1.8 – 1.7 Apollon Limassol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultApoel Nicosia to win ✗40%2.492.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76%1.321.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗63%1.581.67 ▲
Draw no betApoel Nicosia (draw no bet)53%1.89–
Asian handicapApollon Limassol +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80%1.261.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗59%1.701.85 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓62%1.601.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓73%1.38–
First team to scoreApoel Nicosia to score first ✗50%2.02–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓36%2.77–
Half-time / full-timeHT Apoel Nicosia / FT Apoel Nicosia ✗24%4.09–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.10–

Recent results

Apoel Nicosia – last 6

LLWWLW
22 Apr@ Apollon Limassol2–4L
14 Aprvs Apollon Limassol2–3L
5 Aprvs Aris2–1W
15 Mar@ Aris2–1W
8 Marvs Anorthosis0–2L
22 Febvs Omonia Nicosia1–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Apollon Limassol – last 6

WWDDDW
22 Aprvs Apoel Nicosia4–2W
14 Apr@ Apoel Nicosia3–2W
5 Aprvs AEK Larnaca1–1D
22 Mar@ Pafos1–1D
15 Mar@ Anorthosis1–1D
8 Marvs AEL2–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Apr 2026Apollon Limassol v Apoel Nicosia4–2
14 Apr 2026Apoel Nicosia v Apollon Limassol2–3
Apoel Nicosia vs Apollon Limassol head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Apoel Nicosia vs Apollon Limassol?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Apoel Nicosia vs Apollon Limassol?

On our numbers Apoel Nicosia have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Apollon Limassol 36%.

How many goals will there be in Apoel Nicosia vs Apollon Limassol?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Apoel Nicosia vs Apollon Limassol?

Our predicted score is Apoel Nicosia 1–1 Apollon Limassol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Apoel Nicosia vs Apollon Limassol?

Apoel Nicosia vs Apollon Limassol (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 29 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at GSP Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.