Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.30Odds
Picks by market
ResultDiyala to win ✓64% · @1.30
Double chanceDiyala or draw ✓85% · fair 1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗7% · fair 15.28
Al-Qasim vs Diyala: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Diyala travel to face Al-Qasim on Tuesday 31 March in the Iraqi League – the ball rolls at 15:30 WAT.
Current form
Al-Qasim, last 4: LLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Naft, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Diyala, last 4: LLDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Al Najaf, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al-Qasim 0.9 xG, Diyala 1.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al-Qasim 15%, draw 22%, Diyala 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Diyala to win (64%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al-Qasim 0–1 Diyala. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al-Qasim15%fair 6.75 · @8.50
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @4.33
Diyala64%fair 1.57 · @1.30
2.81Expected goals
0.94Al-Qasim xG
1.87Diyala xG
48%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–111%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: Al-Qasim 0.9 – 1.9 Diyala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Diyala to win✓
64%
1.57
1.30
Double chance
Diyala or draw✓
85%
1.17
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
–
Draw no bet
Diyala (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Al-Qasim +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.87
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Diyala to score first✓
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Diyala ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Diyala / FT Diyala✓
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3✗
7%
15.28
–
Recent results
Al-Qasim – last 4
LLLL
25 Mar
vs Naft
0–2
L
19 Mar
@ Newroz
1–2
L
6 Mar
@ Al Talaba
0–2
L
14 Feb
@ Naft Maysan
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Diyala – last 4
LLDL
27 Mar
vs Al Najaf
1–2
L
23 Mar
@ Erbil
0–2
L
18 Mar
@ Al Minaa Basra
1–1
D
13 Mar
vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al-Qasim and Diyala.
Our pick is Diyala to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Al-Qasim vs Diyala?
On our numbers Al-Qasim have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Diyala 64%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Qasim vs Diyala?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Qasim vs Diyala?
Our predicted score is Al-Qasim 0–1 Diyala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Al-Qasim vs Diyala?
Al-Qasim vs Diyala (Iraqi League) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
