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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Australia v Curaçao: numbers & prediction

· · AAMI Park
5–1
FT
Australia 60%Draw 23%Curaçao 17% Expected goals 1.66 – 0.92
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.30 – our chance 51% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultAustralia to win ✓60% · @1.38
Double chanceAustralia or draw ✓83% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.30
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.42

Australia vs Curaçao: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 31 March the brings Australia against Curaçao at AAMI Park. Kick-off: 10:10 WAT.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Australia 1.7 xG, Curaçao 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Australia 60%, draw 23%, Curaçao 17%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.30.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Australia 1–0 Curaçao. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Australia60%fair 1.66 · @1.38
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @4.40
Curaçao17%fair 5.78 · @8.60
2.57Expected goals
1.66Australia xG
0.92Curaçao xG
51%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%

From our goals model: Australia 1.7 – 0.9 Curaçao expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAustralia to win ✓60%1.661.38
Double chanceAustralia or draw ✓83%1.211.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.952.30 ▲
Draw no betAustralia (draw no bet) ✓78%1.29–
Asian handicapCuraçao +1 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.391.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗53%1.901.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74%1.351.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗87%1.151.09
First team to scoreAustralia to score first ✓59%1.68–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Australia / FT Australia ✓33%2.99–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.42–

Recent results

Australia – last 1

W
27 Marvs Cameroon1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Curaçao – last 1

L
27 Mar@ China0–2L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Australia and Curaçao.

Australia vs Curaçao head-to-head page →

More predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Australia vs Curaçao?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Australia vs Curaçao?

On our numbers Australia have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Curaçao 17%.

How many goals will there be in Australia vs Curaçao?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Australia vs Curaçao?

Our predicted score is Australia 1–0 Curaçao, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Australia vs Curaçao?

Australia vs Curaçao () kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 10:10 (West Africa Time) at AAMI Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.