Amazonas 49%Draw 26%Águia de Marabá 26%Expected goals 1.94 – 1.59
80%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.83 – our chance 60% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAmazonas to win ✗49% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.42
Amazonas vs Águia de Marabá: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 31 March the brings Amazonas against Águia de Marabá. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT.
Current form
Amazonas, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Figueirense, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Águia de Marabá, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Monte Roraima, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Águia de Marabá, collecting 2.4 points per game to 1.0 for Amazonas.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Amazonas 1.9 xG, Águia de Marabá 1.6 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Amazonas 49%, draw 26%, Águia de Marabá 26%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Amazonas 1–1 Águia de Marabá. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Amazonas49%fair 2.05 · @1.80
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @3.50
Águia de Marabá26%fair 3.90 · @3.95
3.54Expected goals
1.94Amazonas xG
1.59Águia de Marabá xG
64%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
3–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Amazonas 1.9 – 1.6 Águia de Marabá expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Amazonas to win✗
49%
2.05
1.80
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.56
1.70 ▲
Draw no bet
Amazonas (draw no bet)✗
66%
1.53
–
Asian handicap
Águia de Marabá +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.83 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
First team to score
Amazonas to score first✗
53%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Amazonas ahead at half-time✗
37%
2.74
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Amazonas / FT Amazonas✗
28%
3.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.42
–
Recent results
Amazonas – last 5
LLWDD
13 Mar
vs Figueirense
0–1
L
6 Mar
@ Nacional AM
0–3
L
25 Feb
@ Imperatriz
3–0
W
19 Feb
vs Manauara
0–0
D
13 Feb
vs JC
0–0
D
0.6Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Águia de Marabá – last 5
WLWWW
26 Mar
@ Monte Roraima
4–2
W
19 Mar
@ Juventude
0–3
L
12 Mar
@ Madureira
1–0
W
26 Feb
vs Independência
2–0
W
15 Feb
vs Cametá
1–0
W
1.6Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Amazonas and Águia de Marabá.
What is the prediction for Amazonas vs Águia de Marabá?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Amazonas vs Águia de Marabá?
On our numbers Amazonas have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Águia de Marabá 26%.
How many goals will there be in Amazonas vs Águia de Marabá?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Amazonas vs Águia de Marabá?
Our predicted score is Amazonas 1–1 Águia de Marabá, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Amazonas vs Águia de Marabá?
Amazonas vs Águia de Marabá () kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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