Tombense vs America Mineiro: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:15 WAT, Thursday 9 April: Tombense v America Mineiro in the , played at Estadio Antonio Guimaraes de Almeida.
Current form
Tombense, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Avai, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
America Mineiro, last 5: DLLDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Athletic Club, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tombense 1.5 xG, America Mineiro 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tombense 50%, draw 26%, America Mineiro 24%.
Lower-risk option: Tombense or draw (76%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Tombense or draw (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tombense 1–1 America Mineiro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tombense50%fair 2.00 · @1.91
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.20
America Mineiro24%fair 4.18 · @3.50
2.57Expected goals
1.53Tombense xG
1.04America Mineiro xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Tombense 1.5 – 1.0 America Mineiro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tombense to win✗
50%
2.00
1.91
Double chance
Tombense or draw✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.80
Draw no bet
Tombense (draw no bet)
68%
1.48
–
Asian handicap
America Mineiro +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Tombense to score first✓
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tombense / FT Tombense✗
29%
3.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.73
–
Recent results
Tombense – last 5
WLLLD
26 Mar
vs Avai
3–2
W
12 Mar
@ Confiança
0–2
L
1 Mar
@ Uniao Trabalhadores
1–3
L
20 Feb
vs Uniao Trabalhadores
0–1
L
14 Feb
@ Athletic Club
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
America Mineiro – last 5
DLLDD
6 Apr
@ Athletic Club
1–1
D
1 Apr
vs Botafogo SP
1–2
L
29 Mar
vs Caxias
1–2
L
26 Mar
@ Novorizontino
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Atletico-MG
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
100%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tombense and America Mineiro.
What is the prediction for Tombense vs America Mineiro?
Our pick is Tombense or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Tombense vs America Mineiro?
On our numbers Tombense have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 26% and America Mineiro 24%.
How many goals will there be in Tombense vs America Mineiro?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tombense vs America Mineiro?
Our predicted score is Tombense 1–1 America Mineiro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Tombense vs America Mineiro?
Tombense vs America Mineiro () kicks off on Thursday 9 April 2026 at 01:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Antonio Guimaraes de Almeida.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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