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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Novorizontino v São Bernardo: numbers & prediction

· · Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi
1–0
FT
Novorizontino 55%Draw 24%São Bernardo 21% Expected goals 1.79 – 0.97
79%
Betarazi pick

Novorizontino or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultNovorizontino to win ✓55% · @1.88
Double chanceNovorizontino or draw ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.17

Novorizontino vs São Bernardo: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

São Bernardo travel to face Novorizontino on Friday 10 April in the , with Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT.

Current form

Novorizontino, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Juventude, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

São Bernardo, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Botafogo SP, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Novorizontino 1.8 xG, São Bernardo 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Novorizontino 55%, draw 24%, São Bernardo 21%.
  • Lower-risk option: Novorizontino or draw (79%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Novorizontino or draw (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Novorizontino 1–0 São Bernardo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Novorizontino55%fair 1.81 · @1.88
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.40
São Bernardo21%fair 4.85 · @3.80
2.75Expected goals
1.79Novorizontino xG
0.97São Bernardo xG
55%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
0–16%

From our goals model: Novorizontino 1.8 – 1.0 São Bernardo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNovorizontino to win ✓55%1.811.88
Double chanceNovorizontino or draw ✓79%1.261.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.821.73
Draw no betNovorizontino (draw no bet) ✓73%1.37–
Asian handicapSão Bernardo +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74%1.351.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗50%2.001.93
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.411.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.17–
First team to scoreNovorizontino to score first ✓61%1.65–
Half-time resultNovorizontino ahead at half-time ✗41%2.44–
Half-time / full-timeHT Novorizontino / FT Novorizontino ✗35%2.84–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.17–

Recent results

Novorizontino – last 6

DWDLWL
31 Mar@ Juventude0–0D
29 Mar@ Juventude2–0W
26 Marvs America Mineiro1–1D
23 Marvs Londrina1–3L
13 Mar@ Mixto3–0W
9 Marvs Palmeiras1–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

São Bernardo – last 6

WLDLWW
6 Apr@ Botafogo SP2–1W
2 Aprvs Operario-PR1–2L
30 Marvs Sampaio Corrêa RJ2–2D
26 Mar@ Chapecoense-sc1–2L
10 Mar@ Joinville1–0W
26 Febvs Atlético Alagoinhas2–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Novorizontino and São Bernardo.

Novorizontino vs São Bernardo head-to-head page →

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Novorizontino vs São Bernardo?

Our pick is Novorizontino or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Novorizontino vs São Bernardo?

On our numbers Novorizontino have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and São Bernardo 21%.

How many goals will there be in Novorizontino vs São Bernardo?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Novorizontino vs São Bernardo?

Our predicted score is Novorizontino 1–0 São Bernardo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Novorizontino vs São Bernardo?

Novorizontino vs São Bernardo () kicks off on Friday 10 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.