Value bet: Novorizontino to win @ 3.20 – our chance 39% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNovorizontino to win ✗39% · @3.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.49
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.47
Operario-PR vs Novorizontino: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Novorizontino travel to face Operario-PR on Wednesday 15 April in the – the ball rolls at 23:00 WAT.
Current form
Operario-PR, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Cianorte, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Novorizontino, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over São Bernardo, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Operario-PR, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.8 for Novorizontino.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Operario-PR 0.9 xG, Novorizontino 1.1 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Operario-PR 34%, draw 27%, Novorizontino 39%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Novorizontino to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 2.05 – longer than our fair 1.87, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Operario-PR 1–1 Novorizontino. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Operario-PR34%fair 2.92 · @2.20
Draw27%fair 3.68 · @2.80
Novorizontino39%fair 2.59 · @3.20
2.02Expected goals
0.91Operario-PR xG
1.11Novorizontino xG
53%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
1–113%
0–013%
1–012%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Operario-PR 0.9 – 1.1 Novorizontino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Novorizontino to win✗
39%
2.59
3.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Novorizontino (draw no bet)
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
Operario-PR +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Novorizontino to score first
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Novorizontino / FT Novorizontino✗
23%
4.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
13.47
–
Recent results
Operario-PR – last 6
DDWWWW
9 Apr
@ Cianorte
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ Avai
0–0
D
2 Apr
@ São Bernardo
2–1
W
18 Mar
@ Londrina
1–0
W
12 Mar
vs Capital Brasilia
2–0
W
4 Mar
@ Betim
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Novorizontino – last 6
WDWDLW
10 Apr
vs São Bernardo
1–0
W
31 Mar
@ Juventude
0–0
D
29 Mar
@ Juventude
2–0
W
26 Mar
vs America Mineiro
1–1
D
23 Mar
vs Londrina
1–3
L
13 Mar
@ Mixto
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Operario-PR and Novorizontino.
What is the prediction for Operario-PR vs Novorizontino?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Operario-PR vs Novorizontino?
On our numbers Operario-PR have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Novorizontino 39%.
How many goals will there be in Operario-PR vs Novorizontino?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Operario-PR vs Novorizontino?
Our predicted score is Operario-PR 1–1 Novorizontino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Operario-PR vs Novorizontino?
Operario-PR vs Novorizontino () kicks off on Wednesday 15 April 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
São Bernardo0
Cianorte1