Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCapital Brasilia to win ✗45% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.45
Capital Brasilia vs Rio Branco ES: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Rio Branco ES travel to face Capital Brasilia on Sunday 29 March in the – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Capital Brasilia 1.8 xG, Rio Branco ES 1.2 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 49% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Capital Brasilia 45%, draw 26%, Rio Branco ES 29%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.44 – longer than our fair 1.38, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Capital Brasilia 1–1 Rio Branco ES. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Capital Brasilia45%fair 2.23 · @2.55
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.00
Rio Branco ES29%fair 3.43 · @2.70
3.02Expected goals
1.77Capital Brasilia xG
1.24Rio Branco ES xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Capital Brasilia 1.8 – 1.2 Rio Branco ES expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Capital Brasilia to win✗
45%
2.23
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.68
1.93 ▲
Draw no bet
Capital Brasilia (draw no bet)✗
61%
1.65
–
Asian handicap
Rio Branco ES +1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
First team to score
Capital Brasilia to score first✗
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Capital Brasilia / FT Capital Brasilia✗
31%
3.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.45
–
Recent results
Capital Brasilia – last 2
WL
25 Mar
vs Primavera MG
4–3
W
12 Mar
@ Operario-PR
0–2
L
2.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Rio Branco ES
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Capital Brasilia and Rio Branco ES.
What is the prediction for Capital Brasilia vs Rio Branco ES?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Capital Brasilia vs Rio Branco ES?
On our numbers Capital Brasilia have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Rio Branco ES 29%.
How many goals will there be in Capital Brasilia vs Rio Branco ES?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Capital Brasilia vs Rio Branco ES?
Our predicted score is Capital Brasilia 1–1 Rio Branco ES, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Capital Brasilia vs Rio Branco ES?
Capital Brasilia vs Rio Branco ES () kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
