Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 61% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPrimavera MG to win ✗48% · @1.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.88
Primavera MG vs Vila Nova: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Primavera MG welcome Vila Nova for a fixture on Wednesday 8 April (23:00 WAT).
Current form
Primavera MG, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Brasiliense, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Vila Nova, last 5: WDWLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Atletico Goianiense, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Momentum favours Vila Nova, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Primavera MG.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Primavera MG 1.5 xG, Vila Nova 1.5 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 53% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Primavera MG 48%, draw 23%, Vila Nova 28%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Primavera MG 1–1 Vila Nova. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Primavera MG48%fair 2.08 · @1.60
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.60
Vila Nova28%fair 3.51 · @5.10
3.06Expected goals
1.53Primavera MG xG
1.53Vila Nova xG
61%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–18%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Primavera MG 1.5 – 1.5 Vila Nova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Primavera MG to win✗
48%
2.08
1.60
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.31
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Primavera MG (draw no bet)
63%
1.59
–
Asian handicap
Vila Nova +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
–
First team to score
Primavera MG to score first
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.55
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Primavera MG / FT Primavera MG✗
22%
4.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.88
–
Recent results
Primavera MG – last 5
DLLLW
5 Apr
@ Brasiliense
1–1
D
29 Mar
vs Araguaína
0–2
L
25 Mar
@ Capital Brasilia
3–4
L
25 Feb
@ Atletico Goianiense
0–1
L
20 Feb
vs Bragantino PA
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Vila Nova – last 6
WDWLDW
5 Apr
vs Atletico Goianiense
2–1
W
1 Apr
@ Sport Recife
1–1
D
29 Mar
vs Operario Ferroviario
6–0
W
22 Feb
@ Atletico Goianiense
0–2
L
16 Feb
vs Anápolis
2–2
D
13 Feb
@ Anápolis
2–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Primavera MG and Vila Nova.
What is the prediction for Primavera MG vs Vila Nova?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Primavera MG vs Vila Nova?
On our numbers Primavera MG have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Vila Nova 28%.
How many goals will there be in Primavera MG vs Vila Nova?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Primavera MG vs Vila Nova?
Our predicted score is Primavera MG 1–1 Vila Nova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Primavera MG vs Vila Nova?
Primavera MG vs Vila Nova () kicks off on Wednesday 8 April 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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