Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultOperario Ferroviario to win ✓48% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · fair 1.34
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.37
Operario Ferroviario vs Primavera MG: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:30 WAT, Friday 17 April: Operario Ferroviario v Primavera MG in the , played at Estadio Jacques da Luz.
Current form
Operario Ferroviario, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Rio Branco ES, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Primavera MG, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Vila Nova, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Operario Ferroviario, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Primavera MG.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Operario Ferroviario 1.8 xG, Primavera MG 1.2 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 52% for three or more goals, 56% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Operario Ferroviario 48%, draw 25%, Primavera MG 27%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Operario Ferroviario 1–1 Primavera MG. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Operario Ferroviario48%fair 2.08 · @2.00
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.00
Primavera MG27%fair 3.76 · @3.50
3.05Expected goals
1.82Operario Ferroviario xG
1.23Primavera MG xG
56%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: Operario Ferroviario 1.8 – 1.2 Primavera MG expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Operario Ferroviario to win✓
48%
2.08
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.83
Draw no bet
Operario Ferroviario (draw no bet)✓
64%
1.55
–
Asian handicap
Primavera MG +1 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
2.10 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
84%
1.20
1.08
First team to score
Operario Ferroviario to score first
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.58
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Operario Ferroviario / FT Operario Ferroviario✗
32%
3.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.37
–
Recent results
Operario Ferroviario – last 6
DWLWWW
10 Apr
vs Rio Branco ES
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Bataguassu
2–1
W
29 Mar
@ Vila Nova
0–6
L
25 Mar
@ Araguaína
1–0
W
19 Mar
vs Corumbaense
1–0
W
28 Feb
vs Bataguassu
3–2
W
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Primavera MG – last 6
DDLLLW
8 Apr
vs Vila Nova
2–2
D
5 Apr
@ Brasiliense
1–1
D
29 Mar
vs Araguaína
0–2
L
25 Mar
@ Capital Brasilia
3–4
L
25 Feb
@ Atletico Goianiense
0–1
L
20 Feb
vs Bragantino PA
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Operario Ferroviario and Primavera MG.
What is the prediction for Operario Ferroviario vs Primavera MG?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Operario Ferroviario vs Primavera MG?
On our numbers Operario Ferroviario have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Primavera MG 27%.
How many goals will there be in Operario Ferroviario vs Primavera MG?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Operario Ferroviario vs Primavera MG?
Our predicted score is Operario Ferroviario 1–1 Primavera MG, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Operario Ferroviario vs Primavera MG?
Operario Ferroviario vs Primavera MG () kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jacques da Luz.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
