AEL vs Anorthosis: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
AEL welcome Anorthosis to Alphamega Stadium for a 1. Division fixture on Monday 27 April (17:00 WAT). In the table, AEL are 3rd, among the top four, on 18 points after 9 matches; Anorthosis are 11th (lower half) with 6. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
AEL, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Pafos, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Anorthosis, last 5: DLDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Omonia Aradippou, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AEL 1.5 xG, Anorthosis 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AEL 43%, draw 25%, Anorthosis 32%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: AEL 1–1 Anorthosis. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AEL43%fair 2.31 · @2.45
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.40
Anorthosis32%fair 3.10 · @2.55
2.59Expected goals
1.50AEL xG
1.09Anorthosis xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: AEL 1.5 – 1.1 Anorthosis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AEL to win✗
43%
2.31
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
1.67
Draw no bet
AEL (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Anorthosis +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
AEL to score first✗
54%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AEL / FT AEL✗
28%
3.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.87
–
Recent results
AEL – last 6
LWLDLW
22 Apr
@ Pafos
1–3
L
17 Apr
vs Enosis
2–1
W
8 Apr
vs Pafos
1–2
L
22 Mar
vs Ethnikos Achna
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Apollon Limassol
1–2
L
20 Feb
@ Enosis
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Anorthosis – last 6
DLDWDD
19 Apr
vs Omonia Aradippou
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ Ethnikos Achna
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Apollon Limassol
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Apoel Nicosia
2–0
W
21 Feb
@ Pafos
0–0
D
13 Feb
vs Krasava Ypsonas
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AEL and Anorthosis.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win AEL vs Anorthosis?
On our numbers AEL have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Anorthosis 32%.
How many goals will there be in AEL vs Anorthosis?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AEL vs Anorthosis?
Our predicted score is AEL 1–1 Anorthosis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is AEL vs Anorthosis?
AEL vs Anorthosis (1. Division) kicks off on Monday 27 April 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Alphamega Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
