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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tuggeranong United v Belconnen United: numbers & prediction

Capital Territory NPL · Australia · Kambah Stadium
Tuggeranong United 59%Draw 19%Belconnen United 21% Expected goals 2.62 – 1.39
59%
Betarazi pick

Tuggeranong United to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultTuggeranong United to win ✓59% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · fair 1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.81
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.56

Tuggeranong United vs Belconnen United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 11 July the Capital Territory NPL brings Tuggeranong United against Belconnen United at Kambah Stadium. Kick-off: 06:00 WAT.

Current form

Tuggeranong United, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Canberra FC, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.

Belconnen United, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Canberra Juventus, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Tuggeranong United, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for Belconnen United.

Head to head

When they last met (3 Jun 2026) it ended Belconnen United 1–3 Tuggeranong United.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tuggeranong United 2.6 xG, Belconnen United 1.4 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 55% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tuggeranong United 59%, draw 19%, Belconnen United 21%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Tuggeranong United to win (59%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.69, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tuggeranong United 2–1 Belconnen United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tuggeranong United59%fair 1.69 · @1.75
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @3.80
Belconnen United21%fair 4.66 · @3.40
4.01Expected goals
2.62Tuggeranong United xG
1.39Belconnen United xG
55%Both score
76%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
3–18%
1–17%
2–06%
2–26%
3–05%

From our goals model: Tuggeranong United 2.6 – 1.4 Belconnen United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTuggeranong United to win ✓59%1.691.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81%1.24–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.81–
Draw no betTuggeranong United (draw no bet) ✓73%1.36–
Asian handicapTuggeranong United -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗91%1.10–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗76%1.31–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗57%1.76–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓63%1.60–
First team to scoreTuggeranong United to score first ✓64%1.56–
Half-time resultTuggeranong United ahead at half-time ✓49%2.04–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tuggeranong United / FT Tuggeranong United ✓42%2.35–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.56–

Recent results

Tuggeranong United – last 6

WWLWLL
28 Jun@ Canberra FC2–1W
13 Jun@ O'Connor Knights3–2W
10 Junvs Monaro Panthers1–6L
3 Jun@ Belconnen United3–1W
30 May@ Canberra Juventus0–5L
13 Mayvs Canberra FC2–3L
1.8Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Belconnen United – last 6

LLWLLL
4 Julvs Canberra Juventus0–1L
20 Junvs Queanbeyan City1–2L
13 Jun@ Brindabella4–1W
10 Junvs Canberra White Eagles1–2L
3 Junvs Tuggeranong United1–3L
30 Mayvs Canberra FC1–4L
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Jun 2026Belconnen United v Tuggeranong United1–3
Tuggeranong United vs Belconnen United head-to-head page →

More Capital Territory NPL predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tuggeranong United vs Belconnen United?

Our pick is Tuggeranong United to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Tuggeranong United vs Belconnen United?

On our numbers Tuggeranong United have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Belconnen United 21%.

How many goals will there be in Tuggeranong United vs Belconnen United?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tuggeranong United vs Belconnen United?

Our predicted score is Tuggeranong United 2–1 Belconnen United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is Tuggeranong United vs Belconnen United?

Tuggeranong United vs Belconnen United (Capital Territory NPL) kicks off on Saturday 11 July 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Kambah Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.