Value bet: Shirak to win @ 3.20 – our chance 33% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBKMA to win ✗40% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.29
BKMA vs Shirak: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:30 WAT, Sunday 12 April: BKMA v Shirak in the Premier League, played at Football Academy Stadium. In the table, BKMA are 11th, in the drop zone, on 11 points after 13 matches; Shirak are 7th (lower half) with 14. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
BKMA, last 4: LLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to FC Noah, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Shirak, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Pyunik Yerevan, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give BKMA 1.3 xG, Shirak 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – BKMA 40%, draw 26%, Shirak 33%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Shirak to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: BKMA 1–1 Shirak. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
BKMA40%fair 2.47 · @2.10
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @3.25
Shirak33%fair 3.00 · @3.20
2.60Expected goals
1.30BKMA xG
1.30Shirak xG
60%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: BKMA 1.3 – 1.3 Shirak expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
BKMA to win✗
40%
2.47
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.73
Draw no bet
BKMA (draw no bet)
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
BKMA +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Shirak to score first✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shirak / FT Shirak✗
21%
4.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.29
–
Recent results
BKMA – last 4
LLLL
5 Apr
@ FC Noah
0–2
L
20 Mar
vs FC Urartu
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ FC Urartu
1–4
L
8 Mar
vs FC Noah
0–2
L
0.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Shirak – last 6
LLLLLL
6 Apr
vs Pyunik Yerevan
0–1
L
2 Apr
vs Ararat-Armenia
0–2
L
22 Mar
@ FC Noah
0–3
L
16 Mar
vs FC Noah
0–2
L
9 Mar
@ Pyunik Yerevan
0–3
L
4 Mar
@ Ararat-Armenia
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between BKMA and Shirak.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win BKMA vs Shirak?
On our numbers BKMA have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Shirak 33%.
How many goals will there be in BKMA vs Shirak?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for BKMA vs Shirak?
Our predicted score is BKMA 1–1 Shirak, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is BKMA vs Shirak?
BKMA vs Shirak (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Football Academy Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
