Alashkert vs Ararat: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:00 WAT, Tuesday 14 April: Alashkert v Ararat in the Premier League, played at Alashkert Stadium. In the table, Alashkert are 4th, among the top four, on 25 points after 13 matches; Ararat are 9th (lower half) with 11. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Alashkert, last 4: DLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ararat-Armenia, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Ararat, last 3: WWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over FC Urartu, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Ararat, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.3 for Alashkert.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alashkert 2.1 xG, Ararat 0.7 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alashkert 68%, draw 21%, Ararat 11%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alashkert 2–0 Ararat. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alashkert68%fair 1.47 · @1.40
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @4.00
Ararat11%fair 9.42 · @7.00
2.86Expected goals
2.12Alashkert xG
0.73Ararat xG
51%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–012%
2–19%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Alashkert 2.1 – 0.7 Ararat expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alashkert to win✓
68%
1.47
1.40
Double chance
Alashkert or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
2.00
Draw no bet
Alashkert (draw no bet)✓
87%
1.16
–
Asian handicap
Alashkert -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Alashkert to score first✓
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Alashkert ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alashkert / FT Alashkert✓
46%
2.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.54
–
Recent results
Alashkert – last 4
DLLL
6 Apr
@ Ararat-Armenia
1–1
D
21 Mar
vs Pyunik Yerevan
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Pyunik Yerevan
0–1
L
13 Feb
@ FC Orenburg
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Ararat – last 3
WWL
1 Apr
@ FC Urartu
3–2
W
7 Mar
@ Van
2–1
W
3 Mar
vs FC Urartu
0–3
L
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alashkert and Ararat.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Alashkert vs Ararat?
On our numbers Alashkert have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ararat 11%.
How many goals will there be in Alashkert vs Ararat?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alashkert vs Ararat?
Our predicted score is Alashkert 2–0 Ararat, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Alashkert vs Ararat?
Alashkert vs Ararat (Premier League) kicks off on Tuesday 14 April 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Alashkert Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
