Value bet: Aruba to win @ 2.88 – our chance 45% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +31%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAruba to win ✓45% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.40
Aruba vs Liechtenstein: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Liechtenstein travel to face Aruba on Sunday 29 March in the , with Kigali Pele Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aruba 1.6 xG, Liechtenstein 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aruba 45%, draw 25%, Liechtenstein 30%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Aruba to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aruba 1–1 Liechtenstein. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aruba45%fair 2.20 · @2.88
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.10
Liechtenstein30%fair 3.33 · @2.20
2.65Expected goals
1.65Aruba xG
1.00Liechtenstein xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–012%
2–110%
2–010%
0–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: Aruba 1.6 – 1.0 Liechtenstein expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aruba to win✓
45%
2.20
2.88 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Aruba (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.66
–
Asian handicap
Liechtenstein +1 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
89%
1.13
1.06
First team to score
Aruba to score first✓
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aruba / FT Aruba✓
32%
3.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.40
–
Recent results
Aruba – last 1
W
26 Mar
vs Mação
4–1
W
4.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Liechtenstein – last 1
W
26 Mar
@ Tanzania
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aruba and Liechtenstein.
What is the prediction for Aruba vs Liechtenstein?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Aruba vs Liechtenstein?
On our numbers Aruba have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Liechtenstein 30%.
How many goals will there be in Aruba vs Liechtenstein?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aruba vs Liechtenstein?
Our predicted score is Aruba 1–1 Liechtenstein, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Aruba vs Liechtenstein?
Aruba vs Liechtenstein () kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Kigali Pele Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mação0
Tanzania6