Value bet: Iraq to win @ 2.78 – our chance 41% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultIraq to win ✓41% · @2.78
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.79
Iraq vs Bolivia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Iraq welcome Bolivia to Estadio BBVA for a World Cup Qualification Intercontinental Play Offs fixture on Wednesday 1 April (04:00 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Iraq 1.6 xG, Bolivia 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Iraq 41%, draw 26%, Bolivia 33%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Iraq to win @2.78 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.45 – longer than our fair 1.41, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Iraq 1–1 Bolivia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Iraq41%fair 2.41 · @2.78
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.05
Bolivia33%fair 3.07 · @2.60
2.79Expected goals
1.58Iraq xG
1.21Bolivia xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Iraq 1.6 – 1.2 Bolivia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Iraq to win✓
41%
2.41
2.78 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Iraq (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Bolivia +1 (Asian handicap)
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.87
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.05
First team to score
Iraq to score first
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Iraq / FT Iraq✗
27%
3.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.79
–
Recent results
Iraq
No recent results on record.
Bolivia – last 1
W
26 Mar
vs Suriname
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Iraq and Bolivia.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Iraq vs Bolivia?
On our numbers Iraq have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Bolivia 33%.
How many goals will there be in Iraq vs Bolivia?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Iraq vs Bolivia?
Our predicted score is Iraq 1–1 Bolivia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Iraq vs Bolivia?
Iraq vs Bolivia (World Cup Qualification Intercontinental Play Offs) kicks off on Wednesday 1 April 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio BBVA.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
